Solomon Islands national football team
Friendlies 3
Oct 11, 2023 at 3am UK
Stade Yoshida
Vanuatu national football team

Solomon Islands
1 - 0
Vanuatu

Leslie (45', 45')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Solomon Islands and Vanuatu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Solomon Islands

Last Game: P. New Guinea 1-3 Solomon Islands
Sunday, October 8 at 4am in International Friendlies

Vanuatu

Last Game: New Caledonia 4-0 Vanuatu
Sunday, October 8 at 7am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solomon Islands win with a probability of 69.35%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Vanuatu had a probability of 12.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Solomon Islands win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Vanuatu win it was 0-1 (4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Solomon Islands would win this match.

Result
Solomon IslandsDrawVanuatu
69.35% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)18.47% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)12.18% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.68% (0.083000000000006 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.39% (0.054000000000002 0.05)42.61% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.99% (0.054000000000002 0.05)65.01% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)
Solomon Islands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)11.16% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)35.63% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Vanuatu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.79% (0.091999999999999 0.09)45.21% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.9% (0.071000000000002 0.07)81.1% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Solomon Islands 69.34%
    Vanuatu 12.18%
    Draw 18.48%
Solomon IslandsDrawVanuatu
2-0 @ 12.12% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 11.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 8.87% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 4.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.86% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.13% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
5-1 @ 1.69% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 69.34%
1-1 @ 8.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.82% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 18.48%
0-1 @ 4%
1-2 @ 3.49% (0.01 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.59% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.01% (0.006 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.92% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 12.18%

Head to Head
Mar 23, 2023 5am
Friendlies 3
Solomon Islands
2-0
Vanuatu
Mar 20, 2022 5pm
Group Stage
Solomon Islands
0-0
Vanuatu