Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vanuatu win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Solomon Islands had a probability of 37.35% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vanuatu win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.11%) and 2-3 (4.7%). The likeliest Solomon Islands win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.15%).