Friendlies 3

Oct 8, 2023 at 4am UK

Stade Numa Daly

P. New Guinea
1 - 3
Solomon Islands

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Papua New Guinea and Solomon Islands.

Form, Standings, Stats

Papua New Guinea

Last Game: Malaysia 10-0 P. New Guinea
Tuesday, June 20 at 2pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: P. New Guinea vs. New Caledonia
Wednesday, October 11 at 6am in International Friendlies

Solomon Islands

Last Game: Singapore 1-1 Solomon Islands
Sunday, June 18 at 12.30pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Solomon Islands vs. Vanuatu
Wednesday, October 11 at 3am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Papua New Guinea win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Solomon Islands had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Papua New Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Solomon Islands win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Papua New Guinea	Draw	Solomon Islands
39.78% ( -0.8)	26.35% ( 0.44)	33.87% ( 0.36)

Both teams to score 52.75% (

-1.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.08% (

-1.76)

51.92% (

1.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.33% (

-1.54)

73.67% (

1.54)

Papua New Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.37% (

-1.21)

25.63% (

1.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.48% (

-1.68)

60.52% (

1.68)

Solomon Islands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.93% (

-0.63)

29.07% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.01% (

-0.79)

64.99% (

0.79)

Score Analysis

Papua New Guinea 39.78%

Solomon Islands 33.87%

Draw 26.35%

Papua New Guinea	Draw	Solomon Islands
1-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 6.91% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.42% Total : 39.78%	1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35%	0-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.47) 1-2 @ 7.74% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.56% Total : 33.87%