Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaysia win with a probability of 82.19%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Solomon Islands had a probability of 5.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaysia win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.13%) and 1-0 (11.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.91%), while for a Solomon Islands win it was 0-1 (2.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malaysia would win this match.