International Friendlies
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Safawi Rasid
45'+4'
-
Paulo Josue
53'
-
Arif Aiman
57'
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Faisal Halim
59'
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Arif Aiman
61'
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Paulo Josue
64'
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Paulo Josue
70'
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Daniel Ting
77'
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Arif Aiman
87'
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Arif Aiman
89'
Malaysia vs Papua New Guinea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaysia win with a probability of 90.57%. A draw had a probability of 7.1% and a win for Papua New Guinea had a probability of 2.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaysia win was 3-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.5%) and 4-0 (11.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.35%), while for a Papua New Guinea win it was 0-1 (1%). The actual scoreline of 10-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malaysia would win this match.
Result
Malaysia
90.57%
▲
(+46.61)
Draw
7.06%
▼
(-15.41)
Papua New Guinea
2.38%
▼
(-31.21)
Both Teams to Score:
34.96%
▼
(-31.59)
Goals
Over 2.5
73.28%
▲
(+7.21)
Under 2.5
26.72%
▼
(-7.22)
Over 3.5
52.87%
▲
(+8.65)
Under 3.5
47.13%
▼
(-8.66)
Over 4.5
33.42%
▲
(+7.80)
Under 4.5
66.58%
▼
(-7.80)
Malaysia Goals
Over 0.5
96.53%
▲
(+12.63)
Under 0.5
3.47%
▼
(-12.63)
Over 1.5
84.87%
▲
(+30.37)
Under 1.5
15.13%
▼
(-30.37)
Papua New Guinea Goals
Over 0.5
36.22%
▼
(-43.11)
Under 0.5
63.78%
▲
(+43.10)
Over 1.5
7.54%
▼
(-39.20)
Under 1.5
92.46%
▲
(+39.20)
Score analysis
Malaysia
90.55%
Draw
7.06%
Papua New Guinea
2.38%
Malaysia
3-0
@
14%
▲
(+10.62)
2-0 @ 12.5% ▲ (+6.95)
4-0 @ 11.76% ▲ (+10.22)
5-0 @ 7.91% ▼ (-48.49)
1-0 @ 7.44% ▲ (+1.36)
3-1 @ 6.3% ▲ (+0.98)
2-1 @ 5.62% ▼ (-3.13)
4-1 @ 5.29% ▲ (+2.87)
6-0 @ 4.43% ▼ (-12.77)
5-1 @ 3.56% ▼ (-85.35)
7-0 @ 2.13% ▼ (-2.38)
6-1 @ 1.99% ▼ (-25.01)
3-2 @ 1.42% ▼ (-2.79)
4-2 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.73)
Other @ 5.02%
Total : 90.55%
2-0 @ 12.5% ▲ (+6.95)
4-0 @ 11.76% ▲ (+10.22)
5-0 @ 7.91% ▼ (-48.49)
1-0 @ 7.44% ▲ (+1.36)
3-1 @ 6.3% ▲ (+0.98)
2-1 @ 5.62% ▼ (-3.13)
4-1 @ 5.29% ▲ (+2.87)
6-0 @ 4.43% ▼ (-12.77)
5-1 @ 3.56% ▼ (-85.35)
7-0 @ 2.13% ▼ (-2.38)
6-1 @ 1.99% ▼ (-25.01)
3-2 @ 1.42% ▼ (-2.79)
4-2 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.73)
Other @ 5.02%
Total : 90.55%
Draw
1-1
@
3.35%
▼
(-6.24)
0-0 @ 2.21% ▼ (-1.12)
2-2 @ 1.26% ▼ (-5.64)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 7.06%
0-0 @ 2.21% ▼ (-1.12)
2-2 @ 1.26% ▼ (-5.64)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 7.06%
Papua New Guinea
Other @
2.38%
Total : 2.38%
Total : 2.38%