World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round

Jun 7, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Tiburcio Carias Andino

Honduras
3 - 1
Cuba

Lozano (26', 26'), Rodriguez (45+2', 45+2'), Castillo (82', 82')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Reyes (22', 22')
Hernandez (52'), Hernandez (52'), Angel Rodriguez (86'), Torrez Gutierrez (86'), Angel Rodriguez (86'), Torrez Gutierrez (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Honduras and Cuba, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Honduras

All competitions

Last Game: El Salvador 1-1 Honduras
Wednesday, March 27 at 1am in International Friendlies

Current League A Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Jamaica	4	5	10
2	Honduras	4	7	7
3	Suriname	4	3	5
4	Cuba	4	-3	5
5	Haiti	4	-1	3
6	Grenada	4	-11	1

Cuba

All competitions

Last Game: Nicaragua 0-1 Cuba
Wednesday, March 27 at 1am in International Friendlies

Current League A Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Jamaica	4	5	10
2	Honduras	4	7	7
3	Suriname	4	3	5
4	Cuba	4	-3	5
5	Haiti	4	-1	3
6	Grenada	4	-11	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 84.86%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Cuba had a probability of 4.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.74%) and 1-0 (10.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.13%), while for a Cuba win it was 0-1 (1.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Honduras would win this match.

Result
Honduras	Draw	Cuba
84.86% ( 0.55)	10.96% ( -0.18)	4.17% ( -0.37)

Both teams to score 35.75% (

-2.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.19% (

-1.28)

36.8% (

1.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.02% (

-1.4)

58.98% (

1.4)

Honduras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.78% (

-0.14)

6.22% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.5% (

-0.38)

23.49% (

0.39)

Cuba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

38.12% (

-2.48)

61.88% (

2.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.42% (

-1.24)

91.58% (

1.24)

Score Analysis

Honduras 84.86%

Cuba 4.17%

Draw 10.96%

Honduras	Draw	Cuba
2-0 @ 14.84% ( 0.69) 3-0 @ 13.74% ( 0.53) 1-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.58) 4-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.29) 5-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.24) 5-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.15) 6-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.21) 6-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.16) 7-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 84.86%	1-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.28% Total : 10.96%	0-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.14) Other @ 1.09% Total : 4.17%