Mexico national football team
Copa America | Group Stage
Jul 1, 2024 at 1am UK
University of Phoenix Stadium
Ecuador national football team

Mexico
0 - 0
Ecuador


Montes (6'), Montes (6'), Sanchez (50'), Sanchez (50'), Chavez (73'), Chavez (73'), Vasquez (82'), Vasquez (82'), Uriel (90+4'), Uriel (90+4')
FT

Caicedo (43'), Caicedo (43'), Caicedo (90+6'), Caicedo (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Copa America clash between Mexico and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Venezuela 1-0 Mexico
Thursday, June 27 at 2am in Copa America

Ecuador

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Ecuador 3-1 Jamaica
Wednesday, June 26 at 11pm in Copa America

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Ecuador had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Ecuador win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
MexicoDrawEcuador
40.71% (0.108 0.11)27.3% (-0.149 -0.15)31.99% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 49.28% (0.446 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.89% (0.561 0.56)56.11% (-0.568 -0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.82% (0.452 0.45)77.18% (-0.45899999999999 -0.46)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93% (0.322 0.32)27.06% (-0.328 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.56% (0.42 0.42)62.43% (-0.428 -0.43)
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.57% (0.312 0.31)32.43% (-0.32 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.05% (0.352 0.35)68.95% (-0.35899999999999 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 40.7%
    Ecuador 31.99%
    Draw 27.29%
MexicoDrawEcuador
1-0 @ 11.47% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 8.44% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.5% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.68% (0.054 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.27% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.07% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 40.7%
1-1 @ 12.91% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.78% (-0.194 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.29%
0-1 @ 9.88% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-2 @ 7.27% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.57% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.73% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.09% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 31.99%

How you voted: Mexico vs Ecuador

Mexico
21.5%
Draw
19.8%
Ecuador
58.8%
177
Head to Head
Jun 6, 2022 12.30am
International Friendly
Mexico
0-0
Ecuador
Gallardo (66')
Caicedo (60')
> Preview
Oct 28, 2021 2am
Friendlies 1
Mexico
2-3
Ecuador
Alvarado (6'), Rodriguez (59')
Alvarez (50')
Quinonez (2'), Corozo (15'), Chala (75')
Estrada (49')
Jun 10, 2019 12am
International Friendlies
Mexico
3-2
Ecuador
Dos Santos (28'), Montes (63'), Rodriguez (77')
Mena (47'), Preciado (66')
Velasco (80'), Arboleda (88')
Jun 19, 2015 10pm
Group Stage
Mexico
1-2
Ecuador
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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