/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fvenlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fmexlog.png)
-
Nahuel Ferraresi
35'
-
Nahuel Ferraresi
35'
-
Salomon Rondon
57'
-
Salomon Rondon
57'
-
Miguel Navarro
64'
-
Miguel Navarro
64'
-
Santiago Gimenez
39'
-
Santiago Gimenez
39'
-
Alexis Vega
64'
-
Alexis Vega
64'
Venezuela vs Mexico - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F26%2FEduardo%20Bello.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 49.54%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 23.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.22%) and 1-2 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Venezuela win it was 1-0 (9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Venezuela would win this match.
Result
Venezuela
23.09%
▼
(-0.09)
Draw
27.37%
▼
(-0.01)
Mexico
49.54%
▲
(+0.10)
Both Teams to Score:
43.37%
▼
(-0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5
39.22%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
60.78%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
19.17%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
80.83%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 4.5
7.87%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 4.5
92.13%
▲
(+0.02)
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5
57.63%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 0.5
42.37%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 1.5
21.24%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 1.5
78.76%
▲
(+0.10)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5
75.26%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
24.74%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
40.71%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
59.29%
▼
(-0.04)
Score analysis
Venezuela
23.09%
Draw
27.36%
Mexico
49.54%
Venezuela
1-0
@
9%
▼
(-0.02)
2-1 @ 5.4% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 23.09%
2-1 @ 5.4% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 23.09%
Draw
1-1
@
12.57%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 10.48% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 27.36%
0-0 @ 10.48% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 27.36%
Mexico
0-1
@
14.64%
▲
(+0.05)
0-2 @ 10.22% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 8.78%
0-3 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 49.54%
0-2 @ 10.22% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 8.78%
0-3 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.09% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 49.54%