Copa America
Jun 26, 2024 2.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT MetLife Stadium
  • Gabriel Suazo 55' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Suazo 55' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Isla 82' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Isla 82' yellowcard
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 88'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 88'

Chile vs Argentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Chile

All competitions
Copa America
Last game
Jun 22, 2024 1.00am
Peru 0 - 0 Chile

Argentina

All competitions
Copa America
Last game
Jun 21, 2024 1.00am
Argentina 2 - 0 Canada

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 58.43%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Chile had a probability of 17.81%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.63%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Chile win it was 1-0 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Argentina in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Argentina.

Result

Chile 17.81% (-0.52)
Draw 23.76% (+0.09)
Argentina 58.43% (+0.44)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.81% (-1.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.3% (-1.04)
Under 2.5 53.7% (+1.05)
Over 3.5 24.81% (-0.88)
Under 3.5 75.19% (+0.89)
Over 4.5 11.24% (-0.56)
Under 4.5 88.76% (+0.57)

Chile Goals

Over 0.5 55.98% (-1.24)
Under 0.5 44.02% (+1.25)
Over 1.5 19.86% (-1.03)
Under 1.5 80.14% (+1.04)

Argentina Goals

Over 0.5 81.84% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 18.16% (+0.23)
Over 1.5 50.86% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 49.14% (+0.39)

Score analysis

Chile 17.81%
Draw 23.75%
Argentina 58.42%
Chile
1-0 @ 6.56% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 4.59% (-0.17)
2-0 @ 2.69% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 1.26% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 1.07% (-0.09)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 17.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.18% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.99% (+0.33)
2-2 @ 3.92% (-0.17)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 23.75%
Argentina
0-1 @ 13.63% (+0.46)
0-2 @ 11.63% (+0.32)
1-2 @ 9.55% (-0.08)
0-3 @ 6.62% (+0.13)
1-3 @ 5.43% (-0.09)
0-4 @ 2.82% (+0.04)
1-4 @ 2.32% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.12)
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 58.42%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - South America
Jan 28, 2022 12.15am
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Ben Brereton Diaz 21' goal
  • Sebastian Vegas 26' yellowcard
  • Guillermo Maripan 69' yellowcard
  • Erick Pulgar 76' yellowcard
  • Alexis Sanchez 79' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Montecinos 89' yellowcard
  • goal Angel di Maria 10'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 34'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Otamendi 39'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo De Paul 54'
  • yellowcard Leandro Paredes 72'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Tagliafico 90'+5'
Copa America
Jun 14, 2021 10.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lucas Martinez 30' yellowcard
  • Lionel Messi 33' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mauricio Isla 25'
  • yellowcard Erick Pulgar 32'
  • yellowcard Arturo Vidal 35'
  • goal Eduardo Vargas 57'
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Jun 4, 2021 1.00am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Lionel Messi 23' goal
  • Lucas Martinez 43' yellowcard
  • Cristian Romero 52' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pablo Galdames 2'
  • goal Alexis Sanchez 36'
  • yellowcard Charles Aranguiz 68'
International Friendlies
Sep 6, 2019 3.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT United Airlines Field at the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum (Los Angeles, California)
  • Charles Aranguiz 7' yellowcard
  • Claudio Baeza 49' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Vegas 75' yellowcard
  • Cesar Pinares 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leandro Paredes 6'
  • yellowcard Paulo Dybala 15'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Tagliafico 57'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Montiel 59'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo De Paul 62'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Dominguez 82'
Copa America
Jul 6, 2019 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Arena Corinthians, Sao Paulo
  • Sergio Aguero 12' goal
  • Paulo Dybala 22' goal
  • Lionel Messi 37' redcard
  • German Pezzella 57' yellowcard
  • Leandro Paredes 63' yellowcard
  • Juan Foyth 79' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Tagliafico 92' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jean Beausejour 16'
  • yellowcard Arturo Vidal 26'
  • redcard Gary Medel 37'
  • yellowcard Erick Pulgar 45'
  • goal Arturo Vidal 59'
Copa America
Jul 4, 2015 9.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Pradanos, Santiago
  • Francisco Silva 24' yellowcard
  • Gary Medel 34' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Diaz 44' yellowcard
  • Charles Aranguiz 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcos Rojo 55'
  • yellowcard Javier Mascherano 55'
  • yellowcard Ever Banega 91'