Copa America | Group Stage

Jun 26, 2024 at 2am UK

MetLife Stadium

Chile
0 - 1
Argentina

Suazo (55'), Suazo (55'), Isla (82'), Isla (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Martinez (88', 88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa America clash between Chile and Argentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Argentina could line up for Tuesday's Copa America clash with Chile.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chile

All competitions

Copa America

Last Game: Peru 0-0 Chile
Saturday, June 22 at 1am in Copa America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Argentina

All competitions

Copa America

Last Game: Argentina 2-0 Canada
Friday, June 21 at 1am in Copa America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 58.43%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Chile had a probability of 17.81%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.63%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Chile win it was 1-0 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Argentina in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Argentina.

Result
Chile	Draw	Argentina
17.81% ( -0.52)	23.76% ( 0.09)	58.43% ( 0.44)

Both teams to score 45.81% (

-1.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.3% (

-1.03)

53.7% (

1.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.81% (

-0.88)

75.19% (

0.89)

Chile Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.98% (

-1.23)

44.02% (

1.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.86% (

-1.03)

80.14% (

1.04)

Argentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.84% (

-0.22)

18.16% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.86% (

-0.38)

49.14% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Chile 17.81%

Argentina 58.42%

Draw 23.75%

Chile	Draw	Argentina
1-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.64% Total : 17.81%	1-1 @ 11.18% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.67% Total : 23.75%	0-1 @ 13.63% ( 0.45) 0-2 @ 11.63% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 9.55% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 6.62% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 5.43% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 2.82% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.32% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.11) 0-5 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.29% Total : 58.42%