Copa America | Group Stage

Jun 30, 2024 at 1am UK

Hard Rock Stadium

Argentina
2 - 0
Peru

Martinez (47', 47', 86', 86')
Paredes (67'), Paredes (67')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Guerrero (28'), Guerrero (28'), Cartagena (36'), Cartagena (36'), Flores (53'), Flores (53'), Zambrano (88'), Zambrano (88'), Pena (90+4'), Cueva (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Copa America clash between Argentina and Peru, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Argentina could line up for Sunday's Copa America clash with Peru.

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentina

All competitions

Copa America

Last Game: Chile 0-1 Argentina
Wednesday, June 26 at 2am in Copa America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Peru

All competitions

Copa America

Last Game: Peru 0-1 Canada
Tuesday, June 25 at 11pm in Copa America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 72.27%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Peru had a probability of 9.11%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.98%) and 3-0 (10.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Argentina in this match.

Result
Argentina	Draw	Peru
72.27% ( 1.28)	18.62% ( -0.76)	9.11% ( -0.53)

Both teams to score 37.68% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.53% (

1.47)

51.47% (

-1.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.72% (

1.27)

73.27% (

-1.27)

Argentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.1% (

0.83)

12.9% (

-0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.69% (

1.67)

39.31% (

-1.68)

Peru Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.26% (

-0.22)

56.73% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.11% (

-0.13)

88.89% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Argentina 72.25%

Peru 9.11%

Draw 18.62%

Argentina	Draw	Peru
2-0 @ 15.34% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 14.98% ( -0.42) 3-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.34) 4-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.17) 5-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.29% Total : 72.25%	1-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.44) 2-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.34% Total : 18.62%	0-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.38% Total : 9.11%