International Friendlies
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-
Sergio Pena
18'
-
Sergio Pena
18'
-
Jesus Castillo
45'+1'
-
Jesus Castillo
45'+1'
-
Jesus Castillo
52'
-
Jesus Castillo
52'
-
Piero Quispe
54'
-
Piero Quispe
54'
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Wilder Cartagena
83'
-
Wilder Cartagena
83'
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Jose Guerrero
90'+4'
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Jose Guerrero
90'+4'
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Jean Carlos Lopez
58'
-
Jean Carlos Lopez
58'
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Erick Japa
65'
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Erick Japa
65'
Peru vs Dominican Republic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Dominican Republic had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Dominican Republic win was 0-1 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peru would win this match.
Result
Peru
40.13%
▼
(-0.61)
Draw
28.18%
▲
(+0.21)
Dominican Republic
31.69%
▲
(+0.40)
Both Teams to Score:
46.62%
▼
(-0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5
40.58%
▼
(-0.64)
Under 2.5
59.41%
▲
(+0.63)
Over 3.5
20.21%
▼
(-0.49)
Under 3.5
79.79%
▲
(+0.49)
Over 4.5
8.46%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 4.5
91.54%
▲
(+0.28)
Peru Goals
Over 0.5
71.04%
▼
(-0.65)
Under 0.5
28.96%
▲
(+0.65)
Over 1.5
35.15%
▼
(-0.81)
Under 1.5
64.85%
▲
(+0.81)
Dominican Republic Goals
Over 0.5
65.63%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
34.37%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
28.92%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
71.08%
▲
(+0.05)
Score analysis
Peru
40.12%
Draw
28.18%
Dominican Republic
31.69%
Peru
1-0
@
12.33%
▲
(+0.08)
2-1 @ 8.16% ▼ (-0.11)
2-0 @ 7.64% ▼ (-0.10)
3-1 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 40.12%
2-1 @ 8.16% ▼ (-0.11)
2-0 @ 7.64% ▼ (-0.10)
3-1 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 40.12%
Draw
1-1
@
13.17%
▲
(+0.07)
0-0 @ 9.95% ▲ (+0.24)
2-2 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.18%
0-0 @ 9.95% ▲ (+0.24)
2-2 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.18%
Dominican Republic
0-1
@
10.63%
▲
(+0.25)
1-2 @ 7.03% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.12)
1-3 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 31.69%
1-2 @ 7.03% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.12)
1-3 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 31.69%