Copa America | Group Stage

Jun 25, 2024 at 11pm UK

Children's Mercy Park

Peru
0 - 1
Canada

FT(HT: 0-0)

David (74')
Laryea (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa America clash between Peru and Canada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peru

All competitions

Copa America

Last Game: Peru 0-0 Chile
Saturday, June 22 at 1am in Copa America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Canada

All competitions

Copa America

Last Game: Argentina 2-0 Canada
Friday, June 21 at 1am in Copa America

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	1	2	3
2	Chile	1	0	1
3	Peru	1	0	1
4	Canada	1	-2	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Peru had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Peru win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Canada in this match.

Result
Peru	Draw	Canada
31.2% ( 0.29)	26.89% ( -0.03)	41.91% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 50.24% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.24% (

0.23)

54.76% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.93% (

0.19)

76.07% (

-0.19)

Peru Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.7% (

0.32)

32.3% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.2% (

0.36)

68.8% (

-0.36)

Canada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.21% (

-0.03)

25.79% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.25% (

-0.04)

60.75% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Peru 31.2%

Canada 41.91%

Draw 26.88%

Peru	Draw	Canada
1-0 @ 9.42% 2-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.69% Total : 31.2%	1-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.88%	0-1 @ 11.28% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 41.91%