International Friendlies
Jun 15, 2024 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Subaru Park
  • Leonardo Menjivar 10' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Menjivar 10' yellowcard
  • Jorge Cruz 48' yellowcard
  • Jorge Cruz 48' yellowcard
  • goal Edison Flores 17'
  • goal Edison Flores 17'

El Salvador vs Peru - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

El Salvador

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 27, 2024 1.00am
El Salvador 1 - 1 Honduras

Peru

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 8, 2024 1.30am
Peru 0 - 0 Paraguay

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 51.07%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Peru had a probability of 20.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for El Salvador in this match.

Result

El Salvador 51.07% (+0.99)
Draw 28.07% (-0.22)
Peru 20.86% (-0.78)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.38% (-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5 35.36% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 64.63% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 16.36% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 83.63% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 6.33% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 93.67% (-0.01)

El Salvador Goals

Over 0.5 74.23% (+0.49)
Under 0.5 25.76% (-0.49)
Over 1.5 39.29% (+0.65)
Under 1.5 60.71% (-0.65)

Peru Goals

Over 0.5 53.04% (-0.83)
Under 0.5 46.95% (+0.83)
Over 1.5 17.55% (-0.63)
Under 1.5 82.45% (+0.63)

Score analysis

El Salvador 51.06%
Draw 28.06%
Peru 20.86%
El Salvador
1-0 @ 16.4% (+0.21)
2-0 @ 11.12% (+0.29)
2-1 @ 8.41% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 5.03% (+0.20)
3-1 @ 3.8% (+0.07)
4-0 @ 1.71% (+0.10)
3-2 @ 1.44% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.29% (+0.04)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 51.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.4% (-0.13)
0-0 @ 12.09% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.18% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 28.06%
Peru
0-1 @ 9.15% (-0.23)
1-2 @ 4.69% (-0.16)
0-2 @ 3.46% (-0.17)
1-3 @ 1.18% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 20.86%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Sep 28, 2022 1.00am
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT Audi Field
  • Alexander Larin 34' goal
  • goal Eriq Zavaleta 19' (OG)
  • goal Gianluca Lapadula 40'
  • goal Brayan Reyna 81'
  • goal Christian Cueva 86'
International Friendlies
Mar 27, 2019 12.00am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Robert F. Kennedy Memorial Stadium (Washington, District of Columbia)
  • Renato Tapia 82' yellowcard
  • goal Miguel Trauco 61' (OG)
  • yellowcard Marvin Monterrosa 83'
  • goal Oscar Ceren 90'