Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 51.07%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Peru had a probability of 20.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for El Salvador in this match.