Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 51.07%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Peru had a probability of 20.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for El Salvador in this match.

Result
El Salvador	Draw	Peru
51.07% ( 0.99)	28.07% ( -0.21)	20.86% ( -0.77)

Both teams to score 39.38% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.36% (

0.02)

64.63% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.36% (

0.02)

83.63% (

-0.02)

El Salvador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.23% (

0.48)

25.76% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.29% (

0.65)

60.71% (

-0.65)

Peru Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.04% (

-0.82)

46.95% (

0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.55% (

-0.63)

82.45% (

0.63)

Score Analysis

El Salvador 51.06%

Peru 20.86%

Draw 28.06%

El Salvador	Draw	Peru
1-0 @ 16.4% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.87% Total : 51.06%	1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 12.09% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.39% Total : 28.06%	0-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.39% Total : 20.86%