World Cup Qualifying - South America
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Federico Valverde
37'
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Federico Valverde
37'
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Santiago Bueno
79'
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Santiago Bueno
79'
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Nahitan Nandez
84'
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Nahitan Nandez
84'
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Luis Suarez
85'
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Luis Suarez
85'
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Gustavo Gomez
20'
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Gustavo Gomez
20'
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Andres Cubas
34'
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Andres Cubas
34'
Uruguay vs Paraguay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 60.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 15.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.12%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
Result
Uruguay
60.42%
▼
(-0.17)
Draw
24.22%
▲
(+0.13)
Paraguay
15.36%
▲
(+0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
40.12%
▼
(-0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5
41.23%
▼
(-0.35)
Under 2.5
58.76%
▲
(+0.35)
Over 3.5
20.71%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 3.5
79.29%
▲
(+0.27)
Over 4.5
8.75%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 4.5
91.25%
▲
(+0.16)
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5
80.67%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 0.5
19.32%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 1.5
48.91%
▼
(-0.32)
Under 1.5
51.09%
▲
(+0.33)
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5
49.73%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 0.5
50.26%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 1.5
15.16%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 1.5
84.84%
▲
(+0.11)
Score analysis
Uruguay
60.41%
Draw
24.22%
Paraguay
15.36%
Uruguay
1-0
@
15.96%
▲
(+0.12)
2-0 @ 13.12% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.03% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 7.19% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.95% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 60.41%
2-0 @ 13.12% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.03% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 7.19% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.95% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 60.41%
Draw
1-1
@
10.98%
▲
(+0.04)
0-0 @ 9.71% ▲ (+0.13)
2-2 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 24.22%
0-0 @ 9.71% ▲ (+0.13)
2-2 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 24.22%
Paraguay
0-1
@
6.68%
▲
(+0.06)
1-2 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 15.36%
1-2 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 15.36%
Luis Suarez
50'