World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Sep 7, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Estadio Centenario

Uruguay
0 - 0
Paraguay

Valverde (37'), Valverde (37'), Bueno (79'), Bueno (79'), Nandez (84'), Nandez (84'), Suarez (85'), Suarez (85')

Gomez (20'), Gomez (20'), Cubas (34'), Cubas (34')

Reaction

Manuel Ugarte holds up his Manchester United shirt on September 1, 2024

How did Man United's Manuel Ugarte perform in Uruguay's clash with Paraguay?

Manchester United's Manuel Ugarte played 79 minutes of Uruguay's 2026 World Cup qualification fixture against Paraguay on Friday.

Sep 7, 13:29

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Uruguay and Paraguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uruguay

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Uruguay 1-1 Guatemala
Monday, September 2 at 12am in International Friendlies

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	7	9	18
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	7	-1	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Bolivia	7	-6	6
8	Paraguay	6	-2	5
9	Chile	7	-7	5
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Paraguay

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Costa Rica 2-1 Paraguay
Wednesday, July 3 at 2am in Copa America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	7	9	18
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	7	-1	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Bolivia	7	-6	6
8	Paraguay	6	-2	5
9	Chile	7	-7	5
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 60.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 15.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.12%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Uruguay	Draw	Paraguay
60.42% ( -0.17)	24.22% ( 0.12)	15.36% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 40.12% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.23% (

-0.34)

58.76% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.71% (

-0.27)

79.29% (

0.27)

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.67% (

-0.19)

19.32% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.91% (

-0.32)

51.09% (

0.32)

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.73% (

-0.14)

50.26% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.16% (

-0.1)

84.84% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Uruguay 60.41%

Paraguay 15.36%

Draw 24.22%

Uruguay	Draw	Paraguay
1-0 @ 15.96% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 13.12% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.5% Total : 60.41%	1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.42% Total : 24.22%	0-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 3.78% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 15.36%