International Friendlies
Sep 2, 2024 12.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Campeon del Siglo
  • Lucas Pino Garcia 21' goal
  • Franco Catarozzi 61' yellowcard
  • Luciano Cosentino 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Olger Escobar 54'
  • goal Pedro Altan 67'
  • yellowcard Marco Leonel Dominguez-Ramirez 87'

Uruguay vs Guatemala - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Uruguay

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 6, 2024 2.00am
Mexico 0 - 4 Uruguay

Guatemala

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 15, 2024 1.00am
Argentina 4 - 1 Guatemala

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 68.03%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 13.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Uruguay 68.03% (-0.02)
Draw 18.74% (+0.01)
Guatemala 13.24% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.01% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.81% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 41.19% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 36.41% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 63.59% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 19.33% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 80.67% (+0.03)

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5 88.89% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 11.11% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 64.49% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 35.51% (+0.03)

Guatemala Goals

Over 0.5 57.39% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 42.61% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 21.04% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 78.96% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Uruguay 68.02%
Draw 18.74%
Guatemala 13.24%
Uruguay
2-0 @ 11.42%
1-0 @ 10.4% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.75% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 8.37% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.14% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.6% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.92% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.02% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.73% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.67% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 68.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.87% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.73% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.16%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 18.74%
Guatemala
0-1 @ 4.04% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.78% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.72% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.18%
1-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 13.24%