Friendlies 1

Sep 2, 2024 at 12am UK

Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Uruguay
1 - 1
Guatemala

Pino Garcia (21')
Catarozzi (61'), Cosentino (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Altan (67')
Escobar (54'), Leonel Dominguez-Ramirez (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly clash between Uruguay and Guatemala, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uruguay

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Canada 2-2 Uruguay (3-4 pen.)
Sunday, July 14 at 1am in Copa America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Guatemala

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Guatemala 0-1 El Salvador
Sunday, July 28 at 3.30am in International Friendlies

Current League A Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Panama	4	7	10
2	Trinidad and Tobago	4	1	9
3	Martinique	4	-1	7
4	Guatemala	4	-2	4
5	Curacao	4	-1	3
6	El Salvador	4	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 68.03%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 13.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Uruguay	Draw	Guatemala
68.03% ( -0.02)	18.74% ( 0.01)	13.24% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 51.01% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.81% (

-0.02)

41.19% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.41% (

-0.02)

63.59% (

0.03)

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.89% (

-0.01)

11.11% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.49% (

-0.02)

35.51% (

0.02)

Guatemala Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.39% (

-0)

42.61% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.04% (

-0)

78.96% (

Score Analysis

Uruguay 68.02%

Guatemala 13.24%

Draw 18.74%

Uruguay	Draw	Guatemala
2-0 @ 11.42% 1-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.37% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.14% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.6% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.92% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.02% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.73% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0) Other @ 3.95% Total : 68.02%	1-1 @ 8.87% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.16% Other @ 0.98% Total : 18.74%	0-1 @ 4.04% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.78% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.72% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.18% 1-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.43% Total : 13.24%