Uruguay national football team
Copa America | Semi-Finals
Jul 11, 2024 at 1am UK
Bank of America Stadium
Colombia national football team

Uruguay
0 - 1
Colombia


de la Cruz (26'), de la Cruz (26'), Varela (63'), Varela (63'), Gimenez (69'), Gimenez (69')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Lerma (39', 39')
Munoz (31'), Munoz (31'), Rodriguez (55'), Rodriguez (55'), Castano (90+6'), Cuesta (90+7'), Castano (90+6'), Cuesta (90+7')
Munoz (45+1'), Munoz (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa America clash between Uruguay and Colombia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Colombia could line up for Wednesday's Copa America semi-final against Uruguay.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uruguay

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Uruguay 0-0 Brazil (4-2 pen.)
Sunday, July 7 at 2am in Copa America

Colombia

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Colombia 5-0 Panama
Saturday, July 6 at 11pm in Copa America

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 36.1%. A win for Uruguay had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.58%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Uruguay win was 1-0 (11.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Colombia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Colombia.

Result
UruguayDrawColombia
35.21% (-0.287 -0.29)28.69% (0.339 0.34)36.1% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 45.75% (-1 -1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.24% (-1.218 -1.22)60.76% (1.217 1.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.19% (-0.925 -0.93)80.81% (0.926 0.93)
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.35% (-0.813 -0.81)32.65% (0.814 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.8% (-0.922 -0.92)69.2% (0.922 0.92)
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.93% (-0.655 -0.66)32.07% (0.654 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.46% (-0.75 -0.75)68.54% (0.75 0.75)
Score Analysis
    Uruguay 35.21%
    Colombia 36.09%
    Draw 28.68%
UruguayDrawColombia
1-0 @ 11.72% (0.28 0.28)
2-1 @ 7.46% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-0 @ 6.56% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.78% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-0 @ 2.45% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 35.21%
1-1 @ 13.32% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 10.47% (0.47 0.47)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.15 -0.15)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.68%
0-1 @ 11.9% (0.32 0.32)
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-2 @ 6.77% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.87% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 36.09%

How you voted: Uruguay vs Colombia

Uruguay
43.3%
Colombia
56.7%
586
Head to Head
Oct 12, 2023 9.30pm
Group Stage
Colombia
2-2
Uruguay
Rodriguez (35'), Uribe (52')
Vargas (8')
Vargas (87')
Olivera (47'), Nunez (90+1' pen.)
> Preview
Oct 8, 2021 12am
Group Stage
Uruguay
0-0
Colombia
Bentancur (15')
Uribe (50'), Cuadrado (63'), Mojica (90')
> Preview
Jul 3, 2021 11pm
Quarter-Finals
Uruguay
0-0
Colombia
(Aggregate 0-0 | Colombia win 4-2 on penalties)
Godin (35')
> Preview
Nov 13, 2020 8.30pm
Group Stage
Colombia
0-3
Uruguay

Mina (20'), Diaz (72'), Lerma (74'), Cardona (76')
Mina (90')
Cavani (5'), Suarez (54' pen.), Nunez (73')
Nandez (49')
> Preview
Jun 28, 2014 9pm
Round of 16
Colombia
2-0
Uruguay
Rodriguez (28', 50')
Armero (78')

Maria Gimenez (55'), Lugano (776')
> Match Report