Uruguay vs Colombia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 36.1%. A win for Uruguay had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.58%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Uruguay win was 1-0 (11.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Colombia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Colombia.