Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Uruguay had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Uruguay win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.