Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 50.04%. A win for Brazil had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Brazil win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
USA	Draw	Brazil
50.04% ( -2.23)	24.82% ( 0.67)	25.13% ( 1.56)

Both teams to score 52.52% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.14% (

-1.41)

49.85% (

1.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.15% (

-1.27)

71.85% (

1.27)

USA Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.06% (

-1.44)

19.93% (

1.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.91% (

-2.37)

52.08% (

2.36)

Brazil Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.6% (

0.59)

34.39% (

-0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.89% (

0.62)

71.1% (

-0.62)

Score Analysis

USA 50.04%

Brazil 25.14%

Draw 24.82%

USA	Draw	Brazil
1-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.33) 3-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.39) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.23) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.25) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.82% Total : 50.04%	1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.82%	0-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.52) 1-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.34) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.18% Total : 25.14%