/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fusalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fbralog.png)
-
Christian Pulisic
26'
-
Christian Pulisic
26'
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Joao Gomes
15'
-
Joao Gomes
15'
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Rodrygo
17'
-
Rodrygo
17'
USA vs Brazil - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F49%2Fvinicius-junior_1.JPG)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 50.04%. A win for Brazil had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Brazil win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
Result
USA
50.04%
▼
(-2.24)
Draw
24.82%
▲
(+0.68)
Brazil
25.13%
▲
(+1.56)
Both Teams to Score:
52.52%
▼
(-0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.14%
▼
(-1.41)
Under 2.5
49.85%
▲
(+1.41)
Over 3.5
28.15%
▼
(-1.28)
Under 3.5
71.85%
▲
(+1.28)
Over 4.5
13.41%
▼
(-0.87)
Under 4.5
86.59%
▲
(+0.87)
USA Goals
Over 0.5
80.06%
▼
(-1.44)
Under 0.5
19.93%
▲
(+1.44)
Over 1.5
47.91%
▼
(-2.37)
Under 1.5
52.08%
▲
(+2.37)
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5
65.6%
▲
(+0.59)
Under 0.5
34.39%
▼
(-0.59)
Over 1.5
28.89%
▲
(+0.63)
Under 1.5
71.1%
▼
(-0.63)
Score analysis
USA
50.04%
Draw
24.82%
Brazil
25.14%
USA
1-0
@
11.05%
▲
(+0.14)
2-1 @ 9.52% ▼ (-0.17)
2-0 @ 8.92% ▼ (-0.30)
3-1 @ 5.12% ▼ (-0.33)
3-0 @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.39)
3-2 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.13)
4-1 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.24)
4-0 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.26)
4-2 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 50.04%
2-1 @ 9.52% ▼ (-0.17)
2-0 @ 8.92% ▼ (-0.30)
3-1 @ 5.12% ▼ (-0.33)
3-0 @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.39)
3-2 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.13)
4-1 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.24)
4-0 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.26)
4-2 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 50.04%
Draw
1-1
@
11.8%
▲
(+0.34)
0-0 @ 6.86% ▲ (+0.39)
2-2 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 24.82%
0-0 @ 6.86% ▲ (+0.39)
2-2 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 24.82%
Brazil
0-1
@
7.32%
▲
(+0.52)
1-2 @ 6.3% ▲ (+0.28)
0-2 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.34)
1-3 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.14)
2-3 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.14)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 25.14%
1-2 @ 6.3% ▲ (+0.28)
0-2 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.34)
1-3 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.14)
2-3 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.14)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 25.14%