Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 61.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 15.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.9%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.

Result
USA	Draw	Colombia
61.84% ( -0.09)	23.07% ( 0.03)	15.08% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 42.46% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.75% (

0.02)

55.25% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.52% (

0.02)

76.48% (

-0.02)

USA Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.51% (

-0.03)

17.49% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.01% (

-0.05)

47.99% (

0.04)

Colombia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.46% (

0.11)

48.54% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.38% (

0.08)

83.62% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

USA 61.84%

Colombia 15.08%

Draw 23.07%

USA	Draw	Colombia
1-0 @ 14.8% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 12.9% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.16% Total : 61.84%	1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.51% Total : 23.07%	0-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.93% Total : 15.08%