Copa America | Group Stage

Jun 24, 2024 at 2am UK

Hard Rock Stadium

Uruguay
3 - 1
Panama

Araujo (16', 16'), Nunez (85', 85'), Vina (90+1', 90+1')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Murillo (90+4', 90+4')
Welch (68'), Welch (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Copa America clash between Uruguay and Panama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uruguay

All competitions

Last Game: Mexico 0-4 Uruguay
Thursday, June 6 at 2am in International Friendlies

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Panama

All competitions

Last Game: Panama 0-1 Paraguay
Sunday, June 16 at 11.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bolivia	0	0	0
2	Uruguay	0	0	0
3	Panama	0	0	0
4	USA	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Panama had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Panama win was 0-1 (11.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.

Result
Uruguay	Draw	Panama
37.45% ( -0.4)	28.16% ( 0.2)	34.39% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 47.23% (

-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.09% (

-0.72)

58.92% (

0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.6% (

-0.56)

79.41% (

0.57)

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.7% (

-0.6)

30.3% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.52% (

-0.72)

66.48% (

0.72)

Panama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.76% (

-0.23)

32.24% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.27% (

-0.27)

68.74% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Uruguay 37.44%

Panama 34.38%

Draw 28.16%

Uruguay	Draw	Panama
1-0 @ 11.66% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.32% Total : 37.44%	1-1 @ 13.2% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.16%	0-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.74% Total : 34.38%