/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fusalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Furulog.png)
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Tyler Adams
17'
-
Tyler Adams
17'
-
Chris Richards
32'
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Chris Richards
32'
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Darwin Nunez
45'+4'
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Darwin Nunez
45'+4'
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Mathias Olivera
66'
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Mathias Olivera
66'
USA vs Uruguay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F26%2FAntonee%20Robinson%20and%20Folarin%20Balogun.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Uruguay had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Uruguay win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.
Result
USA
40.65%
▼
(-0.06)
Draw
26.59%
▼
(-0.17)
Uruguay
32.76%
▲
(+0.22)
Both Teams to Score:
51.71%
▲
(+0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5
46.87%
▲
(+0.70)
Under 2.5
53.13%
▼
(-0.70)
Over 3.5
25.29%
▲
(+0.59)
Under 3.5
74.71%
▼
(-0.59)
Over 4.5
11.54%
▲
(+0.37)
Under 4.5
88.46%
▼
(-0.38)
USA Goals
Over 0.5
74.28%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 0.5
25.72%
▼
(-0.29)
Over 1.5
39.36%
▲
(+0.40)
Under 1.5
60.64%
▼
(-0.40)
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5
69.61%
▲
(+0.50)
Under 0.5
30.39%
▼
(-0.50)
Over 1.5
33.41%
▲
(+0.59)
Under 1.5
66.59%
▼
(-0.59)
Score analysis
USA
40.65%
Draw
26.59%
Uruguay
32.76%
USA
1-0
@
10.61%
▼
(-0.21)
2-1 @ 8.58% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.21% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 40.65%
2-1 @ 8.58% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.21% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 40.65%
Draw
1-1
@
12.64%
▼
(-0.08)
0-0 @ 7.82% ▼ (-0.22)
2-2 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 26.59%
0-0 @ 7.82% ▼ (-0.22)
2-2 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 26.59%
Uruguay
0-1
@
9.31%
▼
(-0.13)
1-2 @ 7.53% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 5.54%
1-3 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 32.76%
1-2 @ 7.53% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 5.54%
1-3 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 32.76%