/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fusalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fbollog.png)
-
Christian Pulisic
3'
-
Luis Haquin
31'
-
Folarin Balogun
44'
-
Leonel Justiniano
27'
-
Gabriel Villamil
28'
-
Weston McKennie
49'
-
Jesus Sagredo
90'+2'
USA vs Bolivia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F24%2Fgregg-berhalter.JPG)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 71.29%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 10.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.29%) and 3-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for USA in this match.
Result
USA
71.29%
▲
(+0.08)
Draw
18.48%
▲
(+0.02)
Bolivia
10.24%
▼
(-0.09)
Both Teams to Score:
42.15%
▼
(-0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5
52.22%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 2.5
47.78%
▲
(+0.31)
Over 3.5
30.03%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 3.5
69.97%
▲
(+0.29)
Over 4.5
14.69%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 4.5
85.3%
▲
(+0.20)
USA Goals
Over 0.5
87.9%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 0.5
12.1%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 1.5
62.35%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 1.5
37.65%
▲
(+0.15)
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5
47.95%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 0.5
52.04%
▲
(+0.38)
Over 1.5
13.97%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 1.5
86.03%
▲
(+0.25)
Score analysis
USA
71.27%
Draw
18.48%
Bolivia
10.24%
USA
2-0
@
14.04%
▲
(+0.11)
1-0 @ 13.29% ▲ (+0.13)
3-0 @ 9.89% ▲ (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.17% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 5.22% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.04)
5-1 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 71.27%
1-0 @ 13.29% ▲ (+0.13)
3-0 @ 9.89% ▲ (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.17% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 5.22% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.04)
5-1 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 71.27%
Draw
1-1
@
8.69%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.3% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 3% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 18.48%
0-0 @ 6.3% ▲ (+0.09)
2-2 @ 3% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 18.48%
Bolivia
0-1
@
4.11%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 10.24%
1-2 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 10.24%