Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 71.29%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 10.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.29%) and 3-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for USA in this match.

Result
USA	Draw	Bolivia
71.29% ( 0.07)	18.48% ( 0.02)	10.24% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 42.15% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.22% (

-0.31)

47.78% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.03% (

-0.29)

69.97% (

0.29)

USA Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.9% (

-0.07)

12.1% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.35% (

-0.14)

37.65% (

0.14)

Bolivia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.95% (

-0.37)

52.04% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.97% (

-0.24)

86.03% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

USA 71.27%

Bolivia 10.24%

Draw 18.48%

USA	Draw	Bolivia
2-0 @ 14.04% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 13.29% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 2.21% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.93% Total : 71.27%	1-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.5% Total : 18.48%	0-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 10.24%