We said: Colombia 2-0 Bolivia
Colombia are on a roll at the moment, and we are finding it difficult to back Bolivia to pick up a positive result. La Tricolor have so much quality in their squad, and there is no question that they have the potential to emerge victorious at the Copa America this summer.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 79.98%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 6.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12%) and 1-0 (10.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.46%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.