Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 79.98%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 6.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12%) and 1-0 (10.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.46%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.