Friendlies 1

Jun 15, 2024 at 10pm UK

Pratt & Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field

Colombia
3 - 0
Bolivia

Arias (5'), Cordoba (25'), Diaz (42')
Lerma (34'), Uribe (70')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Cuellar (70')
Menacho (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Colombia and Bolivia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colombia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: USA 1-5 Colombia
Saturday, June 8 at 10.30pm in International Friendlies

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Bolivia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Ecuador 3-1 Bolivia
Thursday, June 13 at 1.30am in International Friendlies

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 79.98%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 6.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12%) and 1-0 (10.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.46%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.

Result
Colombia	Draw	Bolivia
79.98% ( 1.05)	13.62% ( -0.92)	6.4% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 41.05% (

2.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.96% (

3.93)

39.03% (

-3.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.64% (

61.36% (

-4.01)

Colombia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.28% (

1.14)

7.72% (

-1.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.51% (

2.85)

27.48% (

-2.85)

Bolivia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.48% (

2.3)

55.51% (

-2.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.81% (

1.3)

88.19% (

-1.31)

Score Analysis

Colombia 79.96%

Bolivia 6.4%

Draw 13.62%

Colombia	Draw	Bolivia
2-0 @ 14.05% ( -0.99) 3-0 @ 12% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 10.97% ( -1.44) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.33) 3-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.41) 4-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.49) 5-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.37) 5-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.36) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.25) 6-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.24) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.23) 6-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.2) Other @ 3.05% Total : 79.96%	1-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.35) 0-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.84) 2-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.45% Total : 13.62%	0-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.98% Total : 6.4%