International Friendlies
Jun 15, 2024 10.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Pratt & Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field
  • Jhon Arias 5' goal
  • Jhon Cordoba 25' goal
  • Jefferson Lerma 34' yellowcard
  • Luis Diaz 42' goal
  • Daniel Munoz 68' redcard
  • Mateus Uribe 70' yellowcard
  • redcard Cesar Menacho 68'
  • yellowcard Hector Cuellar 70'

Colombia vs Bolivia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Colombia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 8, 2024 10.30pm
USA 1 - 5 Colombia

Bolivia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 13, 2024 1.30am
Ecuador 3 - 1 Bolivia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 79.98%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 6.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12%) and 1-0 (10.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.46%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.

Result

Colombia 79.98% (+1.05)
Draw 13.62% (-0.93)
Bolivia 6.4% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.05% (+2.61)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.96% (+3.93)
Under 2.5 39.03% (-3.93)
Over 3.5 38.64% (+4.01)
Under 3.5 61.36% (-4.01)
Over 4.5 21.06% (+3.07)
Under 4.5 78.94% (-3.07)

Colombia Goals

Over 0.5 92.28% (+1.15)
Under 0.5 7.72% (-1.15)
Over 1.5 72.51% (+2.85)
Under 1.5 27.48% (-2.86)

Bolivia Goals

Over 0.5 44.48% (+2.30)
Under 0.5 55.51% (-2.30)
Over 1.5 11.81% (+1.31)
Under 1.5 88.19% (-1.31)

Score analysis

Colombia 79.96%
Draw 13.62%
Bolivia 6.4%
Colombia
2-0 @ 14.05% (-0.99)
3-0 @ 12% (-0.16)
1-0 @ 10.97% (-1.44)
2-1 @ 8.27% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 7.69% (+0.33)
3-1 @ 7.07% (+0.41)
4-1 @ 4.53% (+0.50)
5-0 @ 3.94% (+0.38)
5-1 @ 2.32% (+0.37)
3-2 @ 2.08% (+0.26)
6-0 @ 1.68% (+0.24)
4-2 @ 1.33% (+0.23)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 79.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.46% (-0.35)
0-0 @ 4.28% (-0.84)
2-2 @ 2.43% (+0.18)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 13.62%
Bolivia
0-1 @ 2.52% (-0.29)
1-2 @ 1.9% (+0.04)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 6.4%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - South America
Mar 24, 2022 11.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Luis Diaz 39' goal
  • Juan Cuadrado 68' yellowcard
  • Miguel Borja 72' goal
  • Mateus Uribe 90' goal
  • yellowcard Luis Haquin 12'
  • yellowcard Jhon Garcia 57'
  • yellowcard Jose Maria Carrasco 58'
  • yellowcard Marc Enoumba 69'
World Cup Qualifying - South America
Sep 2, 2021 9.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Adrian Jusino 27' yellowcard
  • Moises Villarroel 62' yellowcard
  • Fernando Saucedo 83' goal
  • Carmelo Algaranaz 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Carmelo Algaranaz 90'+7' redcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Munoz 45'+2'
  • goal Roger Martinez 69'