Copa America | Group Stage

Jun 28, 2024 at 2am UK

MetLife Stadium

Uruguay
5 - 0
Bolivia

Pellistri (8', 8'), Nunez (21', 21'), Araujo (77', 77'), Valverde (81', 81'), Bentancur (89', 89')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Rocha (65'), Rocha (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa America clash between Uruguay and Bolivia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uruguay

All competitions

Copa America

Last Game: Uruguay 3-1 Panama
Monday, June 24 at 2am in Copa America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Bolivia

All competitions

Copa America

Last Game: USA 2-0 Bolivia
Sunday, June 23 at 11pm in Copa America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 70.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 10.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.97%) and 3-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.

Result
Uruguay	Draw	Bolivia
70.91% ( 0.01)	18.16% ( 0.05)	10.92% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 45.55% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.45% (

-0.41)

44.54% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.09% (

-0.39)

66.91% (

0.39)

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.71% (

-0.11)

11.28% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.1% (

-0.25)

35.9% (

0.24)

Bolivia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.34% (

-0.38)

48.65% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.29% (

-0.28)

83.71% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Uruguay 70.9%

Bolivia 10.92%

Draw 18.16%

Uruguay	Draw	Bolivia
2-0 @ 13.06% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 11.97% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 5.18% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.48% Total : 70.9%	1-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.65% Total : 18.16%	0-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 10.92%