/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Furulog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fbollog.png)
-
Facundo Pellistri
8'
-
Facundo Pellistri
8'
-
Darwin Nunez
21'
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Darwin Nunez
21'
-
Maximiliano Araujo
77'
-
Maximiliano Araujo
77'
-
Federico Valverde
81'
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Federico Valverde
81'
-
Rodrigo Bentancur
89'
-
Rodrigo Bentancur
89'
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Yomar Rocha
65'
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Yomar Rocha
65'
Uruguay vs Bolivia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F26%2FDarwin%20Nunez.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 70.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 10.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.97%) and 3-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.
Result
Uruguay
70.91%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
18.16%
▲
(+0.06)
Bolivia
10.92%
▼
(-0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
45.55%
▼
(-0.40)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.45%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 2.5
44.54%
▲
(+0.41)
Over 3.5
33.09%
▼
(-0.40)
Under 3.5
66.91%
▲
(+0.40)
Over 4.5
16.86%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 4.5
83.14%
▲
(+0.29)
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5
88.71%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 0.5
11.28%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 1.5
64.1%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 1.5
35.9%
▲
(+0.25)
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5
51.34%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 0.5
48.65%
▲
(+0.38)
Over 1.5
16.29%
▼
(-0.28)
Under 1.5
83.71%
▲
(+0.28)
Score analysis
Uruguay
70.9%
Draw
18.16%
Bolivia
10.92%
Uruguay
2-0
@
13.06%
▲
(+0.12)
1-0 @ 11.97% ▲ (+0.16)
3-0 @ 9.5% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.41% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.85% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.05)
5-0 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 70.9%
1-0 @ 11.97% ▲ (+0.16)
3-0 @ 9.5% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.41% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.85% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.05)
5-0 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 70.9%
Draw
1-1
@
8.63%
▲
(+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 18.16%
0-0 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 18.16%
Bolivia
0-1
@
3.96%
▲
(+0.03)
1-2 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 10.92%
1-2 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 10.92%
