Copa America | Group Stage

Jun 25, 2024 at 2am UK

Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Brazil
0 - 0
Costa Rica

Marquinhos (30')
Militao (80'), Militao (80')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Calvo (53'), Calvo (53'), Ugalde (58'), Ugalde (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa America clash between Brazil and Costa Rica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brazil could line up for Monday's Copa America clash with Costa Rica.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brazil

All competitions

Last Game: USA 1-1 Brazil
Thursday, June 13 at 12am in International Friendlies

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Costa Rica

All competitions

Last Game: Grenada 0-3 Costa Rica
Sunday, June 9 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	0	0	0
2	Colombia	0	0	0
3	Costa Rica	0	0	0
4	Paraguay	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 61.77%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 17.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 1-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 1-2 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Brazil	Draw	Costa Rica
61.77% ( 0.47)	20.35% ( -0.19)	17.87% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 56.75% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.81% (

0.43)

39.19% (

-0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.48% (

0.45)

61.52% (

-0.45)

Brazil Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.79% (

0.27)

12.2% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.12% (

0.55)

37.87% (

-0.55)

Costa Rica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.64% (

-0.05)

35.35% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.88% (

-0.05)

72.11% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Brazil 61.77%

Costa Rica 17.87%

Draw 20.35%

Brazil	Draw	Costa Rica
2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.86% Total : 61.77%	1-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.35%	1-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.66% Total : 17.87%