World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
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Josh Patrick Gabriel
1'
-
Benjamin Ettienne
73'
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Kayden Harrack
81'
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Manfred Ugalde
9'
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Alvaro Zamora
34'
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Gerald Taylor
70'
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Francisco Calvo
73'
Grenada vs Costa Rica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 62.83%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Grenada had a probability of 17.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.8%) and 0-1 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a Grenada win it was 2-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Costa Rica would win this match.
Result
Grenada
17.75%
▼
(-0.52)
Draw
19.43%
▼
(-0.31)
Costa Rica
62.83%
▲
(+0.82)
Both Teams to Score:
59.93%
▲
(+0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5
65.04%
▲
(+0.57)
Under 2.5
34.96%
▼
(-0.57)
Over 3.5
43.06%
▲
(+0.63)
Under 3.5
56.94%
▼
(-0.63)
Over 4.5
24.65%
▲
(+0.53)
Under 4.5
75.35%
▼
(-0.53)
Grenada Goals
Over 0.5
67.08%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 0.5
32.93%
▲
(+0.21)
Over 1.5
30.5%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 1.5
69.5%
▲
(+0.23)
Costa Rica Goals
Over 0.5
89.34%
▲
(+0.38)
Under 0.5
10.66%
▼
(-0.38)
Over 1.5
65.48%
▲
(+0.84)
Under 1.5
34.53%
▼
(-0.84)
Score analysis
Grenada
17.75%
Draw
19.43%
Costa Rica
62.83%
Grenada
2-1
@
4.85%
▼
(-0.12)
1-0 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.14)
2-0 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 17.75%
1-0 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.14)
2-0 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 17.75%
Draw
1-1
@
8.73%
▼
(-0.17)
2-2 @ 5.43% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 19.43%
2-2 @ 5.43% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 19.43%
Costa Rica
1-2
@
9.77%
▼
(-0.03)
0-2 @ 8.8% ▲ (+0.03)
0-1 @ 7.86% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 7.29% ▲ (+0.10)
0-3 @ 6.56% ▲ (+0.13)
1-4 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.12)
2-3 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 3.67% ▲ (+0.13)
2-4 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.06)
1-5 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.08)
0-5 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.08)
2-5 @ 1.02% ▼ (-96.59)
Other @ 4%
Total : 62.83%
0-2 @ 8.8% ▲ (+0.03)
0-1 @ 7.86% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 7.29% ▲ (+0.10)
0-3 @ 6.56% ▲ (+0.13)
1-4 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.12)
2-3 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 3.67% ▲ (+0.13)
2-4 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.06)
1-5 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.08)
0-5 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.08)
2-5 @ 1.02% ▼ (-96.59)
Other @ 4%
Total : 62.83%