Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 53.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Saint Kitts and Nevis had a probability of 22.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Costa Rica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Costa Rica.