World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Jun 7, 2024 3.30am
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Nacional de Costa Rica
  • Orlando Galo 40' goal
  • Orlando Galo 40' goal
  • Orlando Galo 49' goal
  • Orlando Galo 49' goal
  • Jefferson Brenes 58' yellowcard
  • Jefferson Brenes 58' yellowcard
  • Josimar Alcocer 82' goal
  • Josimar Alcocer 82' goal
  • Andy Rojas 84' goal
  • Andy Rojas 84' goal
  • yellowcard Omari Sterling-James 26'
  • yellowcard Omari Sterling-James 26'
  • yellowcard Jameel Ible 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Jameel Ible 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Lois Maynard 63'
  • yellowcard Lois Maynard 63'

Costa Rica vs Saint Kitts and Nevis - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Costa Rica

All competitions

Saint Kitts and Nevis

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 53.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Saint Kitts and Nevis had a probability of 22.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Costa Rica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Costa Rica.

Result

Costa Rica 53.23% (+0.26)
Draw 23.91% (-0.02)
Saint Kitts and Nevis 22.85% (-0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.87% (-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.81% (-0.20)
Under 2.5 48.18% (+0.20)
Over 3.5 29.66% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 70.34% (+0.19)
Over 4.5 14.43% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 85.56% (+0.13)

Costa Rica Goals

Over 0.5 81.96% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 18.04% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 51.06% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 48.93% (-0.04)

Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals

Over 0.5 64.5% (-0.34)
Under 0.5 35.49% (+0.34)
Over 1.5 27.74% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 72.26% (+0.35)

Score analysis

Costa Rica 53.23%
Draw 23.9%
Saint Kitts and Nevis 22.86%
Costa Rica
1-0 @ 10.96% (+0.11)
2-1 @ 9.73% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.39% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.55% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.36% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.38% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.3% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 53.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.35%
0-0 @ 6.4% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 23.9%
Saint Kitts and Nevis
0-1 @ 6.63% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.88% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 3.44% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.03% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 22.86%