Copa America
Colombia
Jul 6, 2024 11.00pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT University of Phoenix Stadium
Panama
  • Jhon Cordoba 8' goal
  • James Rodriguez 15' goal
  • Luis Diaz 41' goal
  • Mateus Uribe 45' yellowcard
  • Richard Rios 70' goal
  • Miguel Borja 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Jovani Welch 54'
  • yellowcard Edgardo Farina 64'
  • yellowcard Jose Cordoba 90'+1'

Colombia vs Panama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Colombia

All competitions

Panama

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 42.05%. A win for Panama had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Panama win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.

Result

Colombia 42.05% ▼ (-0.48)
Draw 27.59% ▲ (+0.07)
Panama 30.36% ▲ (+0.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.83% ▼ (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.33% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 57.66% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 21.57% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 78.42% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 9.25% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 90.74% ▲ (+0.05)

Colombia Goals

Over 0.5 72.93% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 0.5 27.06% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 1.5 37.56% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 1.5 62.44% ▲ (+0.39)

Panama Goals

Over 0.5 65.58% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 0.5 34.42% ▼ (-0.26)
Over 1.5 28.87% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 1.5 71.13% ▼ (-0.27)

Score analysis

Colombia 42.04%
Draw 27.59%
Panama 30.36%
Colombia
1-0 @ 12.17% ▼ (-0.07)
2-1 @ 8.49% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 7.96% ▼ (-0.11)
3-1 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 42.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.98% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 9.32% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.59%
Panama
0-1 @ 9.94% ▲ (+0.11)
1-2 @ 6.93% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 5.3% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 30.36%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Colombia
Jun 3, 2019 11.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín (Bogotá, D.C.)
Panama
  • William Tesillo 6' goal
  • Luis Muriel 38' goal
  • Radamel Falcao 45' goal

Form Data

Brazil 1 - 1 Colombia
Colombia 3 - 0 Costa Rica
Colombia 2 - 1 Paraguay
Colombia 3 - 0 Bolivia
USA 1 - 5 Colombia
Colombia 3 - 2 Romania
Bolivia 1 - 3 Panama
Panama 2 - 1 USA
Uruguay 3 - 1 Panama
Panama 0 - 1 Paraguay
Montserrat 1 - 3 Panama
Panama 2 - 0 Guyana

Build-up

Predicted Lineups