Copa America | Quarter-Finals

Jul 6, 2024 at 11pm UK

University of Phoenix Stadium

Colombia
5 - 0
Panama

Cordoba (8'), Rodriguez (15' pen.), Diaz (41'), Rios (70'), Borja (90+3' pen.)
Uribe (45')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Welch (54'), Farina (64'), Cordoba (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Copa America clash between Colombia and Panama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Panama could line up for Saturday's Copa America quarter-final clash with Colombia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colombia

All competitions

Copa America

Last Game: Brazil 1-1 Colombia
Wednesday, July 3 at 2am in Copa America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Panama

All competitions

Copa America

Last Game: Bolivia 1-3 Panama
Tuesday, July 2 at 2am in Copa America

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uruguay	3	8	9
2	Panama	3	1	6
3	USA	3	0	3
4	Bolivia	3	-9	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 42.05%. A win for Panama had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Panama win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.

Result
Colombia	Draw	Panama
42.05% ( -0.47)	27.59% ( 0.06)	30.36% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 47.83% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.33% (

-0.1)

57.66% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.57% (

-0.08)

78.42% (

0.08)

Colombia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.93% (

-0.3)

27.06% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.56% (

-0.39)

62.44% (

0.39)

Panama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.58% (

0.25)

34.42% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.87% (

0.26)

71.13% (

-0.27)

Score Analysis

Colombia 42.04%

Panama 30.36%

Draw 27.59%

Colombia	Draw	Panama
1-0 @ 12.17% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.96% Total : 42.04%	1-1 @ 12.98% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.59%	0-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 30.36%