Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 67.08%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 13.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.18%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Bolivia win it was 1-0 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.