Canada national football team
Copa America | Third-Place Playoff
Jul 14, 2024 at 1am UK
Bank of America Stadium
Uruguay national football team

Canada
2 - 2
Uruguay

Kone (22', 22'), David (80', 80')
St Clair (7'), St Clair (7'), Oluwaseyi (63'), Oluwaseyi (63'), Kone (78'), Kone (78'), St Clair (91'), St Clair (91')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Bentancur (8', 8'), Suarez (90+2', 90+2')
Vina (26'), Vina (26'), Bentancur (85'), Bentancur (85')
Uruguay win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Copa America clash between Canada and Uruguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Uruguay could line up for Sunday's Copa America third-place playoff against Canada.

Form, Standings, Stats

Canada

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Argentina 2-0 Canada
Wednesday, July 10 at 1am in Copa America

Uruguay

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Uruguay 0-1 Colombia
Thursday, July 11 at 1am in Copa America

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 48.62%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Uruguay had a probability of 25.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Uruguay win it was 0-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
CanadaDrawUruguay
48.62%25.96%25.43%
Both teams to score 49.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.86%54.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.45%75.55%
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.71%22.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.25%55.75%
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.52%36.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.74%73.26%
Score Analysis
    Canada 48.61%
    Uruguay 25.43%
    Draw 25.95%
CanadaDrawUruguay
1-0 @ 12.2%
2-1 @ 9.24%
2-0 @ 9.16%
3-1 @ 4.62%
3-0 @ 4.58%
3-2 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 1.73%
4-0 @ 1.72%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 48.61%
1-1 @ 12.3%
0-0 @ 8.13%
2-2 @ 4.66%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 8.2%
1-2 @ 6.21%
0-2 @ 4.14%
1-3 @ 2.09%
2-3 @ 1.57%
0-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 25.43%

How you voted: Loser Semi-final 1 vs Loser Semi-final 2

Loser Semi-final 1
31.7%
Draw
13.2%
Loser Semi-final 2
55.1%
167
Head to Head
Sep 27, 2022 5pm
International Friendly
Canada
0-2
Uruguay
De la Cruz (6'), Nunez (33')
> Preview
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!