Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Canada had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Canada win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Canada	Draw	Chile
34.11% ( -0.09)	25.33% ( 0.08)	40.57% ( 0)

Both teams to score 56.22% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.52% (

-0.38)

47.48% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.31% (

-0.36)

69.69% (

0.35)

Canada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.23% (

-0.24)

26.77% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.95% (

-0.31)

62.05% (

0.31)

Chile Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.77% (

-0.17)

23.23% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.86% (

-0.24)

57.14% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Canada 34.11%

Chile 40.57%

Draw 25.32%

Canada	Draw	Chile
1-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.13% Total : 34.11%	1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.32%	0-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.73% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.22% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.11% Total : 40.57%