Copa America
Jul 10, 2024 1.00am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT MetLife Stadium
  • Julian Alvarez 22' goal
  • Julian Alvarez 23' goal
  • Lionel Messi 51' goal
  • Lionel Messi 51' goal
  • Nahuel Molina 88' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Molina 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan David 32'
  • yellowcard Jonathan David 32'
  • yellowcard Stephen Eustaquio 63'
  • yellowcard Stephen Eustaquio 63'
  • yellowcard Jesse Marsch 77'
  • yellowcard Jesse Marsch 77'
  • yellowcard Ismael Kone 79'
  • yellowcard Ismael Kone 79'

Argentina vs Canada - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentina

All competitions

Canada

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 61.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Canada had a probability of 16.71%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Canada win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Argentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Argentina.

Result

Argentina 61.74% (-10.49)
Draw 21.55% (+3.89)
Canada 16.71% (+6.60)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.27% (+6.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.41% (-1.93)
Under 2.5 46.59% (+1.93)
Over 3.5 31.14% (-1.84)
Under 3.5 68.86% (+1.83)
Over 4.5 15.47% (-1.31)
Under 4.5 84.53% (+1.31)

Argentina Goals

Over 0.5 85.45% (-3.59)
Under 0.5 14.55% (+3.59)
Over 1.5 57.4% (-7.40)
Under 1.5 42.6% (+7.39)

Canada Goals

Over 0.5 58.84% (+9.14)
Under 0.5 41.16% (-9.15)
Over 1.5 22.3% (+7.17)
Under 1.5 77.7% (-7.18)

Score analysis

Argentina 61.73%
Draw 21.54%
Canada 16.71%
Argentina
1-0 @ 11.54% (-0.66)
2-0 @ 11.12% (-2.36)
2-1 @ 9.88% (+0.62)
3-0 @ 7.15% (-2.79)
3-1 @ 6.35% (-0.48)
4-0 @ 3.45% (-2.05)
4-1 @ 3.06% (-0.72)
3-2 @ 2.82% (+0.48)
4-2 @ 1.36% (+0.07)
5-0 @ 1.33% (-1.10)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.49)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 61.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.24% (+1.87)
0-0 @ 5.99% (+0.48)
2-2 @ 4.38% (+1.21)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 21.54%
Canada
0-1 @ 5.32% (+1.53)
1-2 @ 4.55% (+1.67)
0-2 @ 2.36% (+1.06)
1-3 @ 1.35% (-64.56)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-71.61)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 16.71%

Head to Head

Copa America
Jun 21, 2024 1.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Julian Alvarez 49' goal
  • Julian Alvarez 49' goal
  • Rodrigo De Paul 61' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo De Paul 61' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Martinez 88' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 88' goal
  • Giovani Lo Celso 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Giovani Lo Celso 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ismael Kone 81'
  • yellowcard Ismael Kone 81'
  • yellowcard Derek Cornelius 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Derek Cornelius 90'+4'

Build-up

Predicted Lineups