Copa America | Semi-Finals

Jul 10, 2024 at 1am UK

MetLife Stadium

Argentina
2 - 0
Canada

Alvarez (22', 23'), Messi (51', 51')
Molina (88'), Molina (88')

FT(HT: 2-0)

David (32'), David (32'), Eustaquio (63'), Eustaquio (63'), Marsch (77'), Marsch (77'), Kone (79'), Kone (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa America clash between Argentina and Canada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Argentina could line up for Tuesday's Copa America clash with Canada.

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentina

All competitions

Copa America

Last Game: Argentina 1-1 Ecuador (4-2 pen.)
Friday, July 5 at 2am in Copa America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Canada

All competitions

Copa America

Last Game: Venezuela 1-1 Canada (3-4 pen.)
Saturday, July 6 at 2am in Copa America

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	3	5	9
2	Canada	3	-1	4
3	Chile	3	-1	2
4	Peru	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 61.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Canada had a probability of 16.71%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Canada win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Argentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Argentina.

Result
Argentina	Draw	Canada
61.74% ( -10.48)	21.55% ( 3.88)	16.71% ( 6.6)

Both teams to score 50.27% (

6.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.41% (

-1.93)

46.59% (

1.92)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.14% (

-1.83)

68.86% (

1.83)

Argentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.45% (

-3.59)

14.55% (

3.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.4% (

-7.39)

42.6% (

7.39)

Canada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.84% (

9.14)

41.16% (

-9.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.3% (

7.17)

77.7% (

-7.17)

Score Analysis

Argentina 61.73%

Canada 16.71%

Draw 21.54%

Argentina	Draw	Canada
1-0 @ 11.54% ( -0.65) 2-0 @ 11.12% ( -2.35) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.62) 3-0 @ 7.15% ( -2.78) 3-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.48) 4-0 @ 3.45% ( -2.04) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.71) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.47) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.33% ( -1.1) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.49) Other @ 2.52% Total : 61.73%	1-1 @ 10.24% ( 1.86) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.47) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( 1.2) Other @ 0.93% Total : 21.54%	0-1 @ 5.32% ( 1.53) 1-2 @ 4.55% ( 1.67) 0-2 @ 2.36% ( 1.06) 1-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.69) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.57) Other @ 1.84% Total : 16.71%