Venezuela national football team
Copa America | Quarter-Finals
Jul 6, 2024 at 2am UK
AT&T Stadium
Canada national football team

Venezuela
1 - 1
Canada

Rondon (65', 65')
Aramburu (90+4'), Aramburu (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Shaffelburg (13', 13')
Shaffelburg (36'), Shaffelburg (36'), Cornelius (50'), Cornelius (50')
Canada win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Copa America clash between Venezuela and Canada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Venezuela could line up for Friday's Copa America clash with Canada.

Form, Standings, Stats

Venezuela

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Jamaica 0-3 Venezuela
Monday, July 1 at 1am in Copa America

Canada

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Canada 0-0 Chile
Sunday, June 30 at 1am in Copa America

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 1-0 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
VenezuelaDrawCanada
31.86% (-0.298 -0.3)28.1% (0.09 0.09)40.03% (0.205 0.2)
Both teams to score 46.9% (-0.342 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.9% (-0.388 -0.39)59.09% (0.384 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.45% (-0.303 -0.3)79.54% (0.298 0.3)
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.92% (-0.417 -0.42)34.08% (0.413 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.23% (-0.45 -0.45)70.76% (0.44600000000001 0.45)
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.14% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)28.86% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.28% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)64.72% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Venezuela 31.85%
    Canada 40.03%
    Draw 28.1%
VenezuelaDrawCanada
1-0 @ 10.58% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.08% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.7% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.54% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.05% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 31.85%
1-1 @ 13.15% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.83% (0.142 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.1%
0-1 @ 12.22% (0.16 0.16)
1-2 @ 8.18% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 7.6% (0.082 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.15% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 0.98% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 40.03%

How you voted: Venezuela vs Canada

Venezuela
68.0%
Canada
32.0%
219
rhs 2.0
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