Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 1-0 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.