Jamaica national football team
Copa America | Group Stage
Jul 1, 2024 at 1am UK
Al Saqr Stadium
Venezuela national football team

Jamaica
0 - 3
Venezuela


Hector (89'), Hector (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bello (49', 49'), Rondon (56', 56'), Ramirez (85', 85')
Machis (9'), Machis (9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Copa America clash between Jamaica and Venezuela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jamaica

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Ecuador 3-1 Jamaica
Wednesday, June 26 at 11pm in Copa America

Venezuela

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Venezuela 1-0 Mexico
Thursday, June 27 at 2am in Copa America

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 0-1 (11.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Venezuela would win this match.

Result
JamaicaDrawVenezuela
39.67% (0.301 0.3)28.62% (0.015000000000001 0.02)31.71% (-0.315 -0.32)
Both teams to score 45.42% (-0.12 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.09% (-0.109 -0.11)60.91% (0.112 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.07% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)80.93% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.04% (0.123 0.12)29.96% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.93% (0.148 0.15)66.07% (-0.146 -0.15)
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.85% (-0.285 -0.28)35.15% (0.28700000000001 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.1% (-0.299 -0.3)71.9% (0.301 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Jamaica 39.67%
    Venezuela 31.71%
    Draw 28.62%
JamaicaDrawVenezuela
1-0 @ 12.69% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 8% (0.024 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.65% (0.083 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.21% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.07% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.68% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.009 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 39.67%
1-1 @ 13.27%
0-0 @ 10.53% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.62%
0-1 @ 11.01% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.76% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.42% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 31.71%

How you voted: Jamaica vs Venezuela

Jamaica
15.9%
Draw
16.7%
Venezuela
67.4%
132