Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 0-1 (11.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Venezuela would win this match.