Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Costa Rica had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Costa Rica win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Costa Rica	Draw	Paraguay
33.56% ( 1.47)	26.18% ( 0.46)	40.26% ( -1.94)

Both teams to score 53.22% (

-1.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.71% (

-1.56)

51.28% (

1.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.88% (

-1.38)

73.11% (

1.38)

Costa Rica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.03% (

0.18)

28.96% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.15% (

0.23)

64.85% (

-0.23)

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.91% (

-1.68)

25.08% (

1.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.22% (

-2.38)

59.77% (

2.38)

Score Analysis

Costa Rica 33.56%

Paraguay 40.25%

Draw 26.17%

Costa Rica	Draw	Paraguay
1-0 @ 9% ( 0.59) 2-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.39) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.58% Total : 33.56%	1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.17%	0-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.61% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.32) 0-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.19) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.55% Total : 40.25%