Copa America
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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fparlog.png)
-
Francisco Calvo
3'
-
Francisco Calvo
3'
-
Josimar Alcocer
7'
-
Josimar Alcocer
7'
-
Josimar Alcocer
16'
-
Josimar Alcocer
16'
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Orlando Galo
82'
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Orlando Galo
82'
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Anthony Contreras
85'
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Anthony Contreras
85'
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Omar Alderete
28'
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Omar Alderete
28'
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Miguel Almiron
34'
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Miguel Almiron
34'
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Ramon Sosa
48'
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Ramon Sosa
48'
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Ramon Sosa
55'
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Ramon Sosa
55'
Costa Rica vs Paraguay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Costa Rica had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Costa Rica win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result
Costa Rica
33.56%
▲
(+1.48)
Draw
26.18%
▲
(+0.46)
Paraguay
40.26%
▼
(-1.94)
Both Teams to Score:
53.22%
▼
(-1.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.71%
▼
(-1.57)
Under 2.5
51.28%
▲
(+1.56)
Over 3.5
26.88%
▼
(-1.39)
Under 3.5
73.11%
▲
(+1.38)
Over 4.5
12.57%
▼
(-0.92)
Under 4.5
87.42%
▲
(+0.92)
Costa Rica Goals
Over 0.5
71.03%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 0.5
28.96%
▼
(-0.19)
Over 1.5
35.15%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 1.5
64.85%
▼
(-0.24)
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5
74.91%
▼
(-1.69)
Under 0.5
25.08%
▲
(+1.68)
Over 1.5
40.22%
▼
(-2.39)
Under 1.5
59.77%
▲
(+2.38)
Score analysis
Costa Rica
33.56%
Draw
26.17%
Paraguay
40.25%
Costa Rica
1-0
@
9%
▲
(+0.60)
2-1 @ 7.71% ▲ (+0.19)
2-0 @ 5.58% ▲ (+0.40)
3-1 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.10)
3-0 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.18)
3-2 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 33.56%
2-1 @ 7.71% ▲ (+0.19)
2-0 @ 5.58% ▲ (+0.40)
3-1 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.10)
3-0 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.18)
3-2 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 33.56%
Draw
1-1
@
12.44%
▲
(+0.23)
0-0 @ 7.26% ▲ (+0.45)
2-2 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.14)
3-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.17%
0-0 @ 7.26% ▲ (+0.45)
2-2 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.14)
3-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.17%
Paraguay
0-1
@
10.04%
▲
(+0.14)
1-2 @ 8.61% ▼ (-0.26)
0-2 @ 6.95% ▼ (-0.25)
1-3 @ 3.97% ▼ (-0.33)
0-3 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.28)
2-3 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.19)
1-4 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.19)
0-4 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 40.25%
1-2 @ 8.61% ▼ (-0.26)
0-2 @ 6.95% ▼ (-0.25)
1-3 @ 3.97% ▼ (-0.33)
0-3 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.28)
2-3 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.19)
1-4 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.19)
0-4 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 40.25%