International Friendlies
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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fpanlog.png)
-
Nicolas Guerra
2'
-
Ariel Uribe
5'
-
Nicolas Guerra
25'
-
Fabian Marcelo Hormazabal Berrios
28'
-
Nicolas Guerra
42'
-
Lucas Cepeda
52'
-
Cristian Cuevas
73'
-
Dylan Escobar
76'
-
Erick Wiemberg
80'
-
Steffan Patricio Pino Briceno
81'
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Marcelo Diaz
86'
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Reyniel Perdomo
25'
-
Cecilio Waterman Ruiz
30'
-
Leroy Janpol Morales Napa
63'
Chile vs Panama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Panama had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Panama win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chile would win this match.
Result
Chile
46.82%
▲
(+0.37)
Draw
25.53%
▼
(-0.21)
Panama
27.65%
▼
(-0.16)
Both Teams to Score:
52.46%
▲
(+0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.04%
▲
(+0.76)
Under 2.5
50.96%
▼
(-0.76)
Over 3.5
27.17%
▲
(+0.67)
Under 3.5
72.83%
▼
(-0.66)
Over 4.5
12.76%
▲
(+0.44)
Under 4.5
87.24%
▼
(-0.44)
Chile Goals
Over 0.5
78.23%
▲
(+0.49)
Under 0.5
21.77%
▼
(-0.48)
Over 1.5
45.04%
▲
(+0.73)
Under 1.5
54.95%
▼
(-0.73)
Panama Goals
Over 0.5
67.06%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 0.5
32.94%
▼
(-0.28)
Over 1.5
30.48%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 1.5
69.52%
▼
(-0.31)
Score analysis
Chile
46.82%
Draw
25.53%
Panama
27.65%
Chile
1-0
@
10.93%
▼
(-0.17)
2-1 @ 9.26% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 8.34% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.71% ▲ (+0.10)
3-0 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.07)
4-0 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 46.82%
2-1 @ 9.26% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 8.34% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.71% ▲ (+0.10)
3-0 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.07)
4-0 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 46.82%
Draw
1-1
@
12.14%
▼
(-0.10)
0-0 @ 7.17% ▼ (-0.22)
2-2 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 25.53%
0-0 @ 7.17% ▼ (-0.22)
2-2 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 25.53%
Panama
0-1
@
7.96%
▼
(-0.19)
1-2 @ 6.74% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 27.65%
1-2 @ 6.74% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 27.65%