Friendlies 1

Oct 16, 2024 at 12.30am UK

BMO Field

Canada
2 - 1
Panama

Larin (44', 44'), David (87', 87')
Eustaquio (35'), Eustaquio (35'), Choiniere (51'), Choiniere (51'), Cornelius (80'), Cornelius (80')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Fajardo (69', 69')
Ayarza (12'), Ayarza (12'), Joel Barcenas (41'), Joel Barcenas (41'), Gondola (58'), Gondola (58'), Fajardo (70'), Fajardo (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Canada and Panama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Canada

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Canada
Wednesday, September 11 at 2am in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	3	5	9
2	Canada	3	-1	4
3	Chile	3	-1	2
4	Peru	3	-3	1

Panama

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: USA 2-0 Panama
Sunday, October 13 at 2am in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Uruguay	3	8	9
2	Panama	3	1	6
3	USA	3	0	3
4	Bolivia	3	-9	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Panama had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Panama win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Canada in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Canada.

Result
Canada	Draw	Panama
43.85% ( 0.57)	24.65% ( 0.1)	31.49% ( -0.66)

Both teams to score 57.61% (

-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.74% (

-0.7)

45.26% (

0.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.4% (

-0.67)

67.6% (

0.67)

Canada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.28% (

-0.03)

20.73% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.66% (

-0.06)

53.34% (

0.06)

Panama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.68% (

-0.76)

27.32% (

0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.23% (

-1)

62.77% (

Score Analysis

Canada 43.85%

Panama 31.49%

Draw 24.65%

Canada	Draw	Panama
2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.74% Total : 43.85%	1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.65%	1-2 @ 7.5% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.97% Total : 31.49%