USA national football team
Friendlies 1
Oct 13, 2024 at 2am UK
Al Saqr Stadium
Panama national football team

USA
2 - 0
Panama

Musah (49', 49'), Pepi (90+4', 90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly clash between USA and Panama, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 1-1 New Zealand
Wednesday, September 11 at 12am in International Friendlies

Panama

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Colombia 5-0 Panama
Saturday, July 6 at 11pm in Copa America

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 49.59%. A win for Panama had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Panama win was 0-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that USA would win this match.

Result
USADrawPanama
49.59% (-0.126 -0.13)24.76% (0.305 0.31)25.64% (-0.183 -0.18)
Both teams to score 53.19% (-1.142 -1.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.79% (-1.425 -1.43)49.21% (1.42 1.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.72% (-1.298 -1.3)71.27% (1.294 1.29)
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.13% (-0.614 -0.61)19.87% (0.61 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.02% (-0.999 -1)51.97% (0.994 0.99)
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.38% (-0.913 -0.91)33.62% (0.90799999999999 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.73% (-1.007 -1.01)70.27% (1.002 1)
Score Analysis
    USA 49.59%
    Panama 25.64%
    Draw 24.76%
USADrawPanama
1-0 @ 10.79% (0.42 0.42)
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.72% (0.176 0.18)
3-1 @ 5.12% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-0 @ 4.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.138 -0.14)
4-1 @ 2.07% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.9% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 49.59%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 6.68% (0.38 0.38)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.76%
0-1 @ 7.28% (0.241 0.24)
1-2 @ 6.41% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.97% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.33% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 25.64%

How you voted: USA vs Panama

USA
85.3%
Draw
11.8%
Panama
2.9%
34
Head to Head
Jun 27, 2024 11pm
Group Stage
Panama
2-1
USA
Blackman (26'), Fajardo (83')
Guerrero (45'), Farina (90+2'), Gondola (90+3')
Carrasquilla (88')
Balogun (22')
Robinson (33'), Richards (89')
Weah (18')
> Preview
Jul 13, 2023 12.30am
Semi-Finals
USA
1-1
Panama
(Aggregate 1-1 | Panama win 5-4 on penalties)
Ferreira (105')
Robinson (86')
Anderson (99')
Godoy (101')
> Preview
Mar 28, 2022 12am
Third Round
USA
5-1
Panama
Pulisic (17' pen., 45+4' pen., 65'), Arriola (23'), Ferreira (27')
Pulisic (69'), Long (85')
Godoy (86')
Godoy (45+3'), Blackburn (45+3'), Davis (57')
> Preview
Oct 10, 2021 11pm
Third Round
Panama
1-0
USA
Godoy (54')
Stephens (76')
> Preview
Nov 16, 2020 7.45pm
Friendlies 1
USA
6-2
Panama
Reyna (18'), Gioacchini (22', 26'), Soto (83', 90+1'), Lletget (87')
McKennie (50'), Gioacchini (51')
Fajardo (8', 79')
Escobar (41'), Murillo (42'), Griffith (70'), Torres (73')