USA national football team
Friendlies 1
Sep 11, 2024 at 12am UK
Dr. DY Patil Stadium
New Zealand national football team

USA
1 - 1
New Zealand

Pepi (20'), Pulisic (69', 69')
de la Torre (59'), de la Torre (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Waine (89', 89')
Rufer (37'), Rufer (37'), Stamenic (51'), Stamenic (51'), Garbett (54'), Garbett (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between USA and New Zealand, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 1-2 Canada
Saturday, September 7 at 9pm in International Friendlies

New Zealand

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 3-0 New Zealand
Sunday, September 8 at 2am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 62.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for New Zealand had a probability of 15.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a New Zealand win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
USADrawNew Zealand
62.74% (5.576 5.58)21.58% (-1.869 -1.87)15.67% (-3.707 -3.71)
Both teams to score 47.95% (-1.396 -1.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.47% (1.853 1.85)48.53% (-1.853 -1.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.34% (1.665 1.67)70.66% (-1.666 -1.67)
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.12% (2.527 2.53)14.87% (-2.528 -2.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.78% (4.613 4.61)43.22% (-4.613 -4.61)
New Zealand Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.33% (-3.414 -3.41)43.67% (3.413 3.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.15% (-2.965 -2.97)79.85% (2.965 2.96)
Score Analysis
    USA 62.73%
    New Zealand 15.67%
    Draw 21.58%
USADrawNew Zealand
1-0 @ 12.37% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 11.79% (1.08 1.08)
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.026000000000002 0.03)
3-0 @ 7.49% (1.248 1.25)
3-1 @ 6.21% (0.526 0.53)
4-0 @ 3.57% (0.839 0.84)
4-1 @ 2.96% (0.473 0.47)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.36% (0.406 0.41)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.095 0.1)
5-1 @ 1.13% (0.259 0.26)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 62.73%
1-1 @ 10.25% (-0.89 -0.89)
0-0 @ 6.5% (-0.51 -0.51)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.386 -0.39)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 21.58%
0-1 @ 5.38% (-0.992 -0.99)
1-2 @ 4.25% (-0.823 -0.82)
0-2 @ 2.23% (-0.671 -0.67)
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.365 -0.37)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.227 -0.23)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 15.67%

How you voted: USA vs New Zealand

USA
86.9%
Draw
4.9%
New Zealand
8.2%
61