International Friendlies
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Ricardo Pepi
20'
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Luca de la Torre
59'
-
Luca de la Torre
59'
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Christian Pulisic
69'
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Christian Pulisic
69'
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Alex Rufer
37'
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Alex Rufer
37'
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Marko Stamenic
51'
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Marko Stamenic
51'
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Matthew Garbett
54'
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Matthew Garbett
54'
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Ben Waine
89'
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Ben Waine
89'
USA vs New Zealand - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 62.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for New Zealand had a probability of 15.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a New Zealand win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
Result
USA
62.74%
▲
(+5.58)
Draw
21.58%
▼
(-1.87)
New Zealand
15.67%
▼
(-3.71)
Both Teams to Score:
47.95%
▼
(-1.40)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.47%
▲
(+1.86)
Under 2.5
48.53%
▼
(-1.86)
Over 3.5
29.34%
▲
(+1.67)
Under 3.5
70.66%
▼
(-1.67)
Over 4.5
14.22%
▲
(+1.13)
Under 4.5
85.78%
▼
(-1.13)
USA Goals
Over 0.5
85.12%
▲
(+2.53)
Under 0.5
14.87%
▼
(-2.53)
Over 1.5
56.78%
▲
(+4.62)
Under 1.5
43.22%
▼
(-4.62)
New Zealand Goals
Over 0.5
56.33%
▼
(-3.42)
Under 0.5
43.67%
▲
(+3.42)
Over 1.5
20.15%
▼
(-2.97)
Under 1.5
79.85%
▲
(+2.97)
Score analysis
USA
62.73%
Draw
21.58%
New Zealand
15.67%
USA
1-0
@
12.37%
▲
(+0.13)
2-0 @ 11.79% ▲ (+1.08)
2-1 @ 9.77% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 7.49% ▲ (+1.25)
3-1 @ 6.21% ▲ (+0.53)
4-0 @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.84)
4-1 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.48)
3-2 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.36% ▼ (-94.04)
4-2 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.10)
5-1 @ 1.13% ▼ (-85.68)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 62.73%
2-0 @ 11.79% ▲ (+1.08)
2-1 @ 9.77% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 7.49% ▲ (+1.25)
3-1 @ 6.21% ▲ (+0.53)
4-0 @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.84)
4-1 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.48)
3-2 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.36% ▼ (-94.04)
4-2 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.10)
5-1 @ 1.13% ▼ (-85.68)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 62.73%
Draw
1-1
@
10.25%
▼
(-0.90)
0-0 @ 6.5% ▼ (-0.51)
2-2 @ 4.05% ▼ (-0.39)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 21.58%
0-0 @ 6.5% ▼ (-0.51)
2-2 @ 4.05% ▼ (-0.39)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 21.58%
New Zealand
0-1
@
5.38%
▼
(-1.00)
1-2 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.83)
0-2 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.68)
1-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.37)
2-3 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.23)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 15.67%
1-2 @ 4.25% ▼ (-0.83)
0-2 @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.68)
1-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.37)
2-3 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.23)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 15.67%