Friendlies 1

Mar 26, 2024 at 8pm UK

Westpac Stadium

New Zealand
0 - 0
Tunisia

Bindon (36'), Cacace (90+3')

Ghandri (48'), Achouri (90+3')
Achouri (90+3')

Tunisia win 4-2 on penalties

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between New Zealand and Tunisia.

Form, Standings, Stats

New Zealand

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Egypt 1-0 New Zealand
Friday, March 22 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	3	5	7
2	Mexico	3	2	7
3	Russia	3	0	3
4	New Zealand	3	-7	0

Tunisia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Tunisia 0-0 Croatia (4-5 pen.)
Saturday, March 23 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 35.62%. A win for Tunisia had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.33%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Tunisia win was 0-1 (12.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
New Zealand	Draw	Tunisia
35.62% ( -0.12)	29.36% ( -0.03)	35.01% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 43.85% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.94% (

0.09)

63.05% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.49% (

0.06)

82.5% (

-0.07)

New Zealand Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.42% (

-0.03)

33.57% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.78% (

-0.03)

70.22% (

0.03)

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.02% (

0.14)

33.98% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.34% (

0.15)

70.66% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

New Zealand 35.62%

Tunisia 35.01%

Draw 29.36%

New Zealand	Draw	Tunisia
1-0 @ 12.45% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.67% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 35.62%	1-1 @ 13.44% 0-0 @ 11.4% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.36%	0-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 35.01%