Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 24, 2024 at 5pm UK

Amadou Gon Coulibaly Stadium

South Africa
0 - 0
Tunisia

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between South Africa and Tunisia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Africa

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: South Africa 4-0 Namibia
Sunday, January 21 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	2	2	4
2	South Africa	2	2	3
3	Namibia	2	-3	3
4	Tunisia	2	-1	1

Tunisia

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Tunisia 1-1 Mali
Saturday, January 20 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	2	2	4
2	South Africa	2	2	3
3	Namibia	2	-3	3
4	Tunisia	2	-1	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Tunisia had a probability of 20.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Tunisia win it was 0-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
South Africa	Draw	Tunisia
51.77% ( -0.74)	27.62% ( 0.43)	20.61% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 40.11% (

-0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.48% (

-1.02)

63.52% (

1.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.15% (

-0.74)

82.84% (

0.74)

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.07% (

-0.8)

24.93% (

0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.44% (

-1.11)

59.56% (

1.11)

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.43% (

-0.26)

46.56% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.84% (

-0.2)

82.15% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

South Africa 51.76%

Tunisia 20.61%

Draw 27.61%

South Africa	Draw	Tunisia
1-0 @ 16.12% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 11.19% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.04% Total : 51.76%	1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 11.6% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.41% Total : 27.61%	0-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 4.71% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 20.61%