Africa Cup of Nations
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South Africa vs Tunisia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Tunisia had a probability of 20.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Tunisia win it was 0-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result
South Africa
51.77%
▼
(-0.74)
Draw
27.62%
▲
(+0.43)
Tunisia
20.61%
▲
(+0.31)
Both Teams to Score:
40.11%
▼
(-0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5
36.48%
▼
(-1.03)
Under 2.5
63.52%
▲
(+1.02)
Over 3.5
17.15%
▼
(-0.75)
Under 3.5
82.84%
▲
(+0.74)
Over 4.5
6.75%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 4.5
93.24%
▲
(+0.40)
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5
75.07%
▼
(-0.80)
Under 0.5
24.93%
▲
(+0.80)
Over 1.5
40.44%
▼
(-1.12)
Under 1.5
59.56%
▲
(+1.11)
Tunisia Goals
Over 0.5
53.43%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 0.5
46.56%
▲
(+0.26)
Over 1.5
17.84%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 1.5
82.15%
▲
(+0.20)
Score analysis
South Africa
51.76%
Draw
27.61%
Tunisia
20.61%
South Africa
1-0
@
16.12%
▲
(+0.25)
2-0 @ 11.19% ▼ (-0.10)
2-1 @ 8.56% ▼ (-0.14)
3-0 @ 5.19% ▼ (-0.17)
3-1 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.16)
4-0 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 51.76%
2-0 @ 11.19% ▼ (-0.10)
2-1 @ 8.56% ▼ (-0.14)
3-0 @ 5.19% ▼ (-0.17)
3-1 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.16)
4-0 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 51.76%
Draw
1-1
@
12.32%
▲
(+0.09)
0-0 @ 11.6% ▲ (+0.43)
2-2 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 27.61%
0-0 @ 11.6% ▲ (+0.43)
2-2 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 27.61%
Tunisia
0-1
@
8.87%
▲
(+0.27)
1-2 @ 4.71% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 20.61%
1-2 @ 4.71% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 20.61%