Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 20, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Olympique de Rades

Tunisia
1 - 1
Mali

Rafia (20')
Jaziri (90+4'), Laidouni (90+8')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sinayoko (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Tunisia and Mali, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tunisia

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Tunisia 0-1 Namibia
Tuesday, January 16 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	1	2	3
2	Namibia	1	1	3
3	Tunisia	1	-1	0
4	South Africa	1	-2	0

Mali

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Mali 2-0 South Africa
Tuesday, January 16 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	1	2	3
2	Namibia	1	1	3
3	Tunisia	1	-1	0
4	South Africa	1	-2	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 53.34%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Mali had a probability of 19.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Mali win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Tunisia	Draw	Mali
53.34%	27.03% ( -0.02)	19.62% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 40.25% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.36% (

0.05)

62.64% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.79% (

0.04)

82.2% (

-0.04)

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.17% (

0.02)

23.82% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42% (

0.03)

57.99% (

-0.04)

Mali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.84% (

0.05)

47.15% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.39% (

0.04)

82.6% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Tunisia 53.33%

Mali 19.62%

Draw 27.02%

Tunisia	Draw	Mali
1-0 @ 16.11% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.55% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.53% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 53.33%	1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 11.23% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.42% Total : 27.02%	0-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.17% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 19.62%