World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 21, 2023 at 1pm UK

Bingu National Stadium

Malawi
0 - 1
Tunisia

Idana (9'), Kumwembe (65'), Chaziya (77')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Msakni (88' pen.)
Sassi (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Malawi and Tunisia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malawi

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Liberia 0-1 Malawi
Friday, November 17 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	1	5
2	Guinea	3	0	4
3	Malawi	3	0	4
4	Zimbabwe	3	-1	3

Tunisia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Tunisia 4-0 Sao Tome
Friday, November 17 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Tunisia	0	0	0
2	Mali	0	0	0
3	South Africa	0	0	0
4	Namibia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 43.02%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Tunisia had a probability of 28.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Tunisia win it was 0-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tunisia in this match.

Result
Malawi	Draw	Tunisia
43.02% ( -0.18)	28.86% ( 0.09)	28.11% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 43.33% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.2% (

-0.24)

62.79% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.68% (

-0.18)

82.32% (

0.17)

Malawi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.01% (

-0.22)

28.98% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.11% (

-0.27)

64.88% (

0.26)

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.01% (

-0.06)

38.98% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.29% (

-0.05)

75.7% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Malawi 43.02%

Tunisia 28.11%

Draw 28.85%

Malawi	Draw	Tunisia
1-0 @ 13.99% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.52% Total : 43.02%	1-1 @ 13.18% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.29% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.85%	0-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.21% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.51% Total : 28.11%