International Friendlies
Oct 17, 2023 11.10am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT NOEVIR Stadium Kobe
  • Kyogo Furuhashi 43' goal
  • Junya Ito 54' yellowcard
  • Junya Ito 69' goal
  • yellowcard Ali Abdi 71'

Japan vs Tunisia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Oct 13, 2023 11.35am
Japan 4 - 1 Canada

Tunisia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Oct 13, 2023 12.00pm
South Korea 4 - 0 Tunisia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 53.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Tunisia had a probability of 20.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Tunisia win it was 0-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.

Result

Japan 53.76% (+1.65)
Draw 25.41% (-0.41)
Tunisia 20.84% (-1.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.91% (-0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.92% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 56.08% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 22.84% (+0.20)
Under 3.5 77.16% (-0.20)
Over 4.5 10.02% (+0.12)
Under 4.5 89.98% (-0.13)

Japan Goals

Over 0.5 79.11% (+0.79)
Under 0.5 20.89% (-0.79)
Over 1.5 46.39% (+1.22)
Under 1.5 53.61% (-1.22)

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5 58.03% (-1.15)
Under 0.5 41.97% (+1.15)
Over 1.5 21.59% (-1.01)
Under 1.5 78.41% (+1.01)

Score analysis

Japan 53.74%
Draw 25.41%
Tunisia 20.84%
Japan
1-0 @ 13.72% (+0.20)
2-0 @ 10.74% (+0.41)
2-1 @ 9.33% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 5.61% (+0.34)
3-1 @ 4.87% (+0.15)
4-0 @ 2.2% (+0.19)
3-2 @ 2.12%
4-1 @ 1.91% (+0.11)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 53.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.92% (-0.20)
0-0 @ 8.77% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 25.41%
Tunisia
0-1 @ 7.61% (-0.32)
1-2 @ 5.18% (-0.26)
0-2 @ 3.31% (-0.25)
1-3 @ 1.5% (-0.13)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 20.84%