Japan national football team
Friendlies 1
Oct 17, 2023 at 11.10am UK
NOEVIR Stadium Kobe
Tunisia national football team

Japan
2 - 0
Tunisia

Furuhashi (43'), Ito (69')
Ito (54')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Abdi (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Japan and Tunisia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan

All competitions
Last Game: Japan 4-1 Canada
Friday, October 13 at 11.35am in International Friendlies

Tunisia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: South Korea 4-0 Tunisia
Friday, October 13 at 12pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 53.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Tunisia had a probability of 20.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Tunisia win it was 0-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.

Result
JapanDrawTunisia
53.76% (1.644 1.64)25.41% (-0.405 -0.4)20.84% (-1.24 -1.24)
Both teams to score 45.91% (-0.437 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.92% (0.243 0.24)56.08% (-0.245 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.84% (0.198 0.2)77.16% (-0.199 -0.2)
Japan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.11% (0.788 0.79)20.89% (-0.788 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.39% (1.217 1.22)53.61% (-1.218 -1.22)
Tunisia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.03% (-1.141 -1.14)41.97% (1.14 1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.59% (-1.006 -1.01)78.41% (1.004 1)
Score Analysis
    Japan 53.74%
    Tunisia 20.84%
    Draw 25.41%
JapanDrawTunisia
1-0 @ 13.72% (0.19 0.19)
2-0 @ 10.74% (0.4 0.4)
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
3-0 @ 5.61% (0.338 0.34)
3-1 @ 4.87% (0.149 0.15)
4-0 @ 2.2% (0.181 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.12%
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 53.74%
1-1 @ 11.92% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-0 @ 8.77% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 7.61% (-0.316 -0.32)
1-2 @ 5.18% (-0.255 -0.26)
0-2 @ 3.31% (-0.247 -0.25)
1-3 @ 1.5% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-3 @ 0.96% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 20.84%

How you voted: Japan vs Tunisia

Japan
84.6%
Draw
10.3%
Tunisia
5.1%
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