Friendlies 1

Oct 13, 2023 at 12pm UK

Seoul World Cup Stadium

South Korea
4 - 0
Tunisia

Kang-in (55', 57'), Meriah (66' og.), Ui-jo (90+1')
Min-jae (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Achouri (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between South Korea and Tunisia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Korea

All competitions

Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-1 South Korea
Tuesday, September 12 at 5.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	3	2	6
2	South Korea	3	0	4
3	Uruguay	3	0	4
4	Ghana	3	-2	3

Tunisia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Egypt 1-3 Tunisia
Tuesday, September 12 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	3	3	6
2	Australia	3	-1	6
3	Tunisia	3	0	4
4	Denmark	3	-2	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 47.11%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Tunisia had a probability of 25.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Tunisia win it was 0-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.

Result
South Korea	Draw	Tunisia
47.11% ( 0.25)	26.91% ( -0.01)	25.99% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 47.14% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.75% (

-0.09)

57.25% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.9% (

-0.08)

78.1% (

0.08)

South Korea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.68% (

0.08)

24.32% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.29% (

0.11)

58.71% (

-0.11)

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.3% (

-0.26)

37.7% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.52% (

-0.25)

74.48% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

South Korea 47.1%

Tunisia 25.99%

Draw 26.9%

South Korea	Draw	Tunisia
1-0 @ 12.96% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 47.1%	1-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.9%	0-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.67% Total : 25.99%