International Friendlies
Oct 13, 2023 12.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT Seoul World Cup Stadium
  • Lee Kang-in 55' goal
  • Lee Kang-in 57' goal
  • Yassine Meriah 66' goal
  • Kim Min-jae 82' yellowcard
  • Hwang Ui-jo 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Elias Achouri 62'

South Korea vs Tunisia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

South Korea

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 12, 2023 5.30pm
Saudi Arabia 0 - 1 South Korea

Tunisia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Sep 12, 2023 6.00pm
Egypt 1 - 3 Tunisia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 47.11%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Tunisia had a probability of 25.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Tunisia win it was 0-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.

Result

South Korea 47.11% (+0.26)
Draw 26.91% (-0.02)
Tunisia 25.99% (-0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.14% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.75% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 57.25% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 21.9% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 78.1% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 9.45% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 90.55% (+0.05)

South Korea Goals

Over 0.5 75.68% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 24.32% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 41.29% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 58.71% (-0.11)

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5 62.3% (-0.26)
Under 0.5 37.7% (+0.27)
Over 1.5 25.52% (-0.26)
Under 1.5 74.48% (+0.26)

Score analysis

South Korea 47.1%
Draw 26.9%
Tunisia 25.99%
South Korea
1-0 @ 12.96% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 9.16% (+0.08)
2-1 @ 8.94% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.32% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.21% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.53% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.49% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 47.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.64% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 9.17% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 26.9%
Tunisia
0-1 @ 8.95% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 4.36% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.01% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 25.99%