Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 47.11%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Tunisia had a probability of 25.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Tunisia win it was 0-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.