World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 17, 2023 at 7pm UK

Stade Olympique de Rades

Tunisia
4 - 0
Sao Tome

Meriah (37'), Msakni (53'), Rafia (79'), Ben Larbi (88')
Rafia (50'), Jouini (58')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Viegas (22'), Silva (25'), Viegas (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Tunisia and Sao Tome & Principe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tunisia

All competitions

Last Game: Japan 2-0 Tunisia
Tuesday, October 17 at 11.10am in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Tunisia	0	0	0
2	Mali	0	0	0
3	South Africa	0	0	0
4	Namibia	0	0	0

Sao Tome & Principe

Last Game: Nigeria 6-0 Sao Tome
Sunday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 93.63%. A draw had a probability of 5% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 1.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (13.56%) and 2-0 (12.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.34%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 0-1 (0.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tunisia would win this match.

Result
Tunisia	Draw	Sao Tome & Principe
93.63% ( 1.26)	5.03% ( -0.88)	1.33% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 28.62% (

-2.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

76.1% (

1.87)

23.89% (

-1.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

56.54% (

2.46)

43.45% (

-2.46)

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.39% (

0.44)

2.61% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

87.88% (

1.57)

12.12% (

-1.57)

Sao Tome & Principe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

29.38% (

-2.25)

70.61% (

2.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

4.81% (

-0.82)

95.18% (

0.82)

Score Analysis

Tunisia 93.62%

Sao Tome & Principe 1.33%

Draw 5.03%

Tunisia	Draw	Sao Tome & Principe
3-0 @ 14.88% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 13.56% ( 0.67) 2-0 @ 12.24% ( -0.45) 5-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.9) 1-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.56) 6-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.78) 3-1 @ 5.18% ( -0.44) 4-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.57) 5-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.02) 7-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.52) 6-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.1) 8-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.29) 7-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.17) Other @ 4.06% Total : 93.62%	1-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.43) 0-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.85% Total : 5.03%	Other @ 1.33% Total : 1.33%