World Cup Qualifying - Africa
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-
Yassine Meriah
37'
-
Hamza Rafia
50'
-
Youssef Msakni
53'
-
Haythem Jouini
58'
-
Hamza Rafia
79'
-
Firas Ben Larbi
88'
-
Edmilson Viegas
22'
-
Denilson Silva
25'
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Eba Viegas
85'
Tunisia vs Sao Tome & Principe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 93.63%. A draw had a probability of 5% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 1.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (13.56%) and 2-0 (12.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.34%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 0-1 (0.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tunisia would win this match.
Result
Tunisia
93.63%
▲
(+1.27)
Draw
5.03%
▼
(-0.89)
Sao Tome & Principe
1.33%
▼
(-0.38)
Both Teams to Score:
28.62%
▼
(-2.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
76.1%
▲
(+1.88)
Under 2.5
23.89%
▼
(-1.88)
Over 3.5
56.54%
▲
(+2.46)
Under 3.5
43.45%
▼
(-2.47)
Over 4.5
37%
▲
(+2.42)
Under 4.5
62.99%
▼
(-2.42)
Tunisia Goals
Over 0.5
97.39%
▲
(+0.44)
Under 0.5
2.61%
▼
(-0.45)
Over 1.5
87.88%
▲
(+1.57)
Under 1.5
12.12%
▼
(-1.58)
Sao Tome & Principe Goals
Over 0.5
29.38%
▼
(-2.26)
Under 0.5
70.61%
▲
(+2.25)
Over 1.5
4.81%
▼
(-0.82)
Under 1.5
95.18%
▲
(+0.82)
Score analysis
Tunisia
93.62%
Draw
5.03%
Sao Tome & Principe
1.33%
Tunisia
3-0
@
14.88%
▲
(+0.12)
4-0 @ 13.56% ▲ (+0.67)
2-0 @ 12.24% ▼ (-0.45)
5-0 @ 9.9% ▲ (+0.90)
1-0 @ 6.72% ▼ (-0.57)
6-0 @ 6.02% ▲ (+0.78)
3-1 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.44)
4-1 @ 4.72% ▼ (-0.19)
2-1 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.57)
5-1 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.03)
7-0 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.53)
6-1 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.11)
8-0 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.29)
7-1 @ 1.09% ▼ (-98.21)
Other @ 4.96%
Total : 93.62%
4-0 @ 13.56% ▲ (+0.67)
2-0 @ 12.24% ▼ (-0.45)
5-0 @ 9.9% ▲ (+0.90)
1-0 @ 6.72% ▼ (-0.57)
6-0 @ 6.02% ▲ (+0.78)
3-1 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.44)
4-1 @ 4.72% ▼ (-0.19)
2-1 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.57)
5-1 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.03)
7-0 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.53)
6-1 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.11)
8-0 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.29)
7-1 @ 1.09% ▼ (-98.21)
Other @ 4.96%
Total : 93.62%
Draw
1-1
@
2.34%
▼
(-0.43)
0-0 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.25)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 5.03%
0-0 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.25)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 5.03%
Sao Tome & Principe
Other @
1.33%
Total : 1.33%
Total : 1.33%