World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 20, 2023 at 7pm UK

Stade 26 Mars

Mali
1 - 1
CAR

Doumbia (76')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kondogbia (79')
Pirioua (40'), Youfeigane (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Mali and Central African Republic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mali

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Mali 3-1 Chad
Friday, November 17 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Next Game: CAR vs. Mali
Monday, November 20 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Tunisia	0	0	0
2	Mali	0	0	0
3	South Africa	0	0	0
4	Namibia	0	0	0

Central African Republic

Last Game: Comoros 4-2 CAR
Friday, November 17 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Next Game: CAR vs. Mali
Monday, November 20 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 77.33%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Central African Republic had a probability of 6.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.63%) and 3-0 (12.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.18%), while for a Central African Republic win it was 0-1 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Mali	Draw	Central African Republic
77.33% ( -0.22)	16.29% ( -0.16)	6.38% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 32.47% (

2.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49% (

1.91)

50.99% (

-1.92)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.13% (

1.65)

72.86% (

-1.66)

Mali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.67% (

0.47)

11.32% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64% (

1.02)

35.99% (

-1.03)

Central African Republic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

36.61% (

2.27)

63.38% (

-2.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

7.71% (

0.99)

92.28% (

-1)

Score Analysis

Mali 77.31%

Central African Republic 6.38%

Draw 16.29%

Mali	Draw	Central African Republic
2-0 @ 17.02% ( -0.67) 1-0 @ 15.63% ( -0.92) 3-0 @ 12.36% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.32) 4-0 @ 6.73% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.34) 4-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.24) 5-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.17) 6-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.48% Total : 77.31%	0-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.57) 1-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.2) Other @ 0.21% Total : 16.29%	0-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.16) Other @ 1.48% Total : 6.38%