World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Nov 20, 2023 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade 26 Mars
  • Kamory Doumbia 76' goal
  • yellowcard Brad Pirioua 40'
  • yellowcard Dominique Youfeigane 66'
  • goal Geoffrey Kondogbia 79'

Mali vs Central African Republic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mali

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Nov 17, 2023 7.00pm
Mali 3 - 1 Chad

Central African Republic

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Nov 17, 2023 1.00pm
Comoros 4 - 2 CAR

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 77.33%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Central African Republic had a probability of 6.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.63%) and 3-0 (12.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.18%), while for a Central African Republic win it was 0-1 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result

Mali 77.33% (-0.22)
Draw 16.29% (-0.17)
Central African Republic 6.38% (+0.37)

Both Teams to Score: 

32.47% (+2.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 49% (+1.92)
Under 2.5 50.99% (-1.93)
Over 3.5 27.13% (+1.66)
Under 3.5 72.86% (-1.67)
Over 4.5 12.74% (+1.07)
Under 4.5 87.25% (-1.08)

Mali Goals

Over 0.5 88.67% (+0.47)
Under 0.5 11.32% (-0.48)
Over 1.5 64% (+1.02)
Under 1.5 35.99% (-1.03)

Central African Republic Goals

Over 0.5 36.61% (+2.28)
Under 0.5 63.38% (-2.29)
Over 1.5 7.71% (+1.00)
Under 1.5 92.28% (-1.01)

Score analysis

Mali 77.31%
Draw 16.29%
Central African Republic 6.38%
Mali
2-0 @ 17.02% (-0.68)
1-0 @ 15.63% (-0.92)
3-0 @ 12.36% (-0.25)
2-1 @ 7.77% (+0.33)
4-0 @ 6.73% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.64% (+0.34)
4-1 @ 3.07% (+0.24)
5-0 @ 2.93% (+0.06)
5-1 @ 1.34% (+0.13)
3-2 @ 1.29% (+0.17)
6-0 @ 1.06% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 77.31%
Draw
0-0 @ 7.18% (-0.58)
1-1 @ 7.13% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 1.77% (+0.21)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 16.29%
Central African Republic
0-1 @ 3.27% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 1.63% (+0.17)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 6.38%