Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 77.33%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Central African Republic had a probability of 6.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.63%) and 3-0 (12.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.18%), while for a Central African Republic win it was 0-1 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.