World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 21, 2023 at 1pm UK

Stade Huye

Rwanda
2 - 0
South Africa

Nshuti (12'), Mugisha (28')
Nshuti (12'), Spittler (13'), Mugisha (32')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Rwanda and South Africa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rwanda

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Rwanda 0-0 Zimbabwe
Wednesday, November 15 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	3	7
2	Libya	3	3	6
3	Rwanda	3	0	4
4	Equatorial Guinea	3	-6	0

South Africa

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: South Africa 2-1 Benin
Saturday, November 18 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Tunisia	0	0	0
2	Mali	0	0	0
3	South Africa	0	0	0
4	Namibia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rwanda win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for South Africa had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rwanda win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.73%) and 2-1 (7.32%). The likeliest South Africa win was 0-1 (12.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rwanda would win this match.

Result
Rwanda	Draw	South Africa
38.41% ( -0.11)	30.43% ( -0.01)	31.16% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 40.59% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.28% (

0.06)

66.72% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.92% (

0.04)

85.08% (

-0.04)

Rwanda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.29% (

-0.04)

33.71% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.63% (

-0.04)

70.37% (

0.04)

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.23% (

0.13)

38.77% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.5% (

0.12)

75.5% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Rwanda 38.4%

South Africa 31.15%

Draw 30.41%

Rwanda	Draw	South Africa
1-0 @ 14.2% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.32% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 38.4%	1-1 @ 13.46% 0-0 @ 13.06% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.42% Total : 30.41%	0-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.56% Total : 31.15%