Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 68.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 11.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.76%) and 3-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.