South Africa national football team
Friendlies 1
Jan 10, 2024 at 1pm UK
Al Salam Stadium
Lesotho national football team

South Africa
0 - 0
Lesotho

FT
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between South Africa and Lesotho.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Rwanda 2-0 South Africa
Tuesday, November 21 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Mozambique 2-0 Lesotho
Saturday, January 6 at 2pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 68.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 11.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.76%) and 3-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
South AfricaDrawLesotho
68.14% (-0.279 -0.28)20.79% (0.23 0.23)11.07% (0.055 0.05)
Both teams to score 38.4% (-0.423 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.33% (-0.69600000000001 -0.7)54.68% (0.704 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24% (-0.581 -0.58)76% (0.589 0.59)
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.83% (-0.31399999999999 -0.31)15.17% (0.321 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.22% (-0.6 -0.6)43.78% (0.608 0.61)
Lesotho Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.27% (-0.327 -0.33)54.73% (0.334 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.28% (-0.198 -0.2)87.72% (0.20399999999999 0.2)
Score Analysis
    South Africa 68.13%
    Lesotho 11.07%
    Draw 20.79%
South AfricaDrawLesotho
1-0 @ 15.65% (0.25 0.25)
2-0 @ 14.76% (0.07 0.07)
3-0 @ 9.28% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.9% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.59% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-0 @ 4.38% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.64% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.045 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.65% (-0.048 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 68.13%
1-1 @ 9.44% (0.058 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.3% (0.225 0.23)
2-2 @ 2.68% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 20.79%
0-1 @ 5% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
1-2 @ 2.84% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.51% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 11.07%

Head to Head
Jul 13, 2021 2pm
Group Stage
South Africa
4-0
Lesotho
Victor Letsoalo (5', 44', 57'), Mkhulise (20')
Ngcobo (74'), Mphahlele (89')

Fothoane (40'), Makepe (56'), Nkoto (67'), Toloane (73')
rhs 2.0


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