International Friendlies
Jan 10, 2024 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Al Salam Stadium

South Africa vs Lesotho - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

South Africa

All competitions

Lesotho

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 68.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 11.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.76%) and 3-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result

South Africa 68.14% (-0.28)
Draw 20.79% (+0.24)
Lesotho 11.07% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

38.4% (-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.33% (-0.70)
Under 2.5 54.68% (+0.71)
Over 3.5 24% (-0.59)
Under 3.5 76% (+0.59)
Over 4.5 10.73% (-0.37)
Under 4.5 89.27% (+0.38)

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5 84.83% (-0.32)
Under 0.5 15.17% (+0.33)
Over 1.5 56.22% (-0.61)
Under 1.5 43.78% (+0.61)

Lesotho Goals

Over 0.5 45.27% (-0.33)
Under 0.5 54.73% (+0.34)
Over 1.5 12.28% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 87.72% (+0.21)

Score analysis

South Africa 68.13%
Draw 20.79%
Lesotho 11.07%
South Africa
1-0 @ 15.65% (+0.25)
2-0 @ 14.76% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 9.28% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 8.9% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.59% (-0.10)
4-0 @ 4.38% (-0.08)
4-1 @ 2.64% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.05)
5-0 @ 1.65% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 68.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.44% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 8.3% (+0.23)
2-2 @ 2.68% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 20.79%
Lesotho
0-1 @ 5% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 2.84% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.51% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 11.07%

Head to Head

COSAFA Cup
Jul 13, 2021 2.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium
  • Sepana Victor Letsoalo 5' goal
  • Sphelele Mkhulise 20' goal
  • Sepana Victor Letsoalo 44' goal
  • Sepana Victor Letsoalo 57' goal
  • Njabulo Ngcobo 74' yellowcard
  • Ramahlwe Mphahlele 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lehlohonolo Fothoane 40'
  • yellowcard Basia Makepe 56'
  • yellowcard Masoabi Nkoto 67'
  • yellowcard Tsepo Toloane 73'