International Friendlies
Sep 7, 2024 9.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Children's Mercy Park
  • Folarin Balogun 53' yellowcard
  • Luca de la Torre 66' goal
  • goal Jacob Shaffelburg 17'
  • goal Jonathan David 58'
  • yellowcard Cyle Larin 63'

USA vs Canada - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 13, 2024 12.00am
USA 1 - 1 Brazil

Canada

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 9, 2024 8.15pm
France 0 - 0 Canada

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 58.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Canada had a probability of 18.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Canada win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result

USA 58.71% (-0.16)
Draw 23.1% (+0.04)
Canada 18.18% (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.36% (+0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.36% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 50.64% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 27.45% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 72.55% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 12.95% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 87.05% (-0.02)

USA Goals

Over 0.5 83.05% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 16.94% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 52.97% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 47.02% (+0.08)

Canada Goals

Over 0.5 58.22% (+0.17)
Under 0.5 41.77% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 21.76% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 78.24% (-0.15)

Score analysis

USA 58.71%
Draw 23.09%
Canada 18.18%
USA
1-0 @ 12.56% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 11.15% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.74% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.6% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.76% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.93% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.56% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.51% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.12% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 58.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.96% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.08% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.25% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 23.09%
Canada
0-1 @ 6.18% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 4.79% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.7% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.39% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.24% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 18.18%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jul 10, 2023 12.30am
2
2
HT : 0 0
ET Nippert Stadium
  • Brandon Vazquez 88' goal
  • Scott Kennedy 114' goal
  • goal Steven Vitoria 90'+3'
  • goal Jacob Shaffelburg 109'
CONCACAF Nations League
Jun 19, 2023 1.30am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Allianz Stadium
  • goal Chris Richards 12'
  • goal Folarin Balogun 34'
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Jan 30, 2022 8.05pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Cyle Larin 7' goal
  • Steven Vitoria 31' yellowcard
  • Tajon Buchanan 88' yellowcard
  • Sam Adekugbe 90'+5' goal
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Sep 6, 2021 1.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Theoson Siebatcheu 29' yellowcard
  • John Brooks 32' yellowcard
  • Brenden Aaronson 55' goal
  • Tyler Adams 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Richie Laryea 28'
  • goal Cyle Larin 62'
  • yellowcard Mark-Anthony Kaye 68'
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jul 18, 2021 10.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Shaquell Moore 1' goal